Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
l
l
l
2
Win
12
Played
10
Win
28
Age
30
1.70m
Height
1.78m
37
C. Rank
7
8
Best Rank
5
8
Total Titles
11
0
YTD Titles
2
$10.2M
Career Money
$20.8M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Madison Keys
USA
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
l
2
Win
12
Played
10
Win
28
Age
30
1.70m
Height
1.78m
37
C. Rank
7
8
Best Rank
5
8
Total Titles
11
0
YTD Titles
2
$10.2M
Career Money
$20.8M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Head-to-head: Kasatkina 2 - 10 Keys
They have played 27 sets in total, with Daria Kasatkina winning 5 and Madison Keys winning 22. The last match between Madison Keys and Daria Kasatkina was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 09-01-2025, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-1 6-3.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Kasatkina | 2 |
| Keys | 10 |
Last 12 H2H Matches:
(QF) Adelaide International - Adelaide(01-09-25)
Madison Keys
6
6
Daria Kasatkina
1
3
(F) Rothesay International - Eastbourne(07-01-23)
Madison Keys
6
7
Daria Kasatkina
2
6
(QF) Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston(04-07-23)
Daria Kasatkina
6
6
6
Madison Keys
7
4
2
D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $10,172,432 | Career Prize Money | $20,819,148 |
| 62.83% (404-239) | Career Total W/L | 64.27% (421-234) |
| 1 | Clay | 0 |
| 0 | Grass | 1 |
| 1 | Hard | 9 |
| 15 | Titles | 14 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 10 |
| 46.34% (19-22) | YTD Win/Loss | 71.15% (37-15) |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 2 |
D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Daria Kasatkina has won 36.32% of points on their second serve, while Madison Keys has won 41.85%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Daria Kasatkina, in recent form, has won 52.97% of their opponent's second serve points, while Madison Keys has won 49.37%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.48% and 29.37% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Daria Kasatkina has saved 41.77% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Madison Keys has saved 54.95% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Daria Kasatkina has won 46.34% of matches played (W/L 19/22), with Madison Keys winning 71.15% (W/L 37/15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Daria Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 136/60), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 184/135). Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17).
- Player level: In the last year, Daria Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 35.71% of matches (W/L 5/9), where as Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 12 times before with Daria Kasatkina winning 2 times and Madison Keys being victorious 10 times. They have played 27 sets in total, with Daria Kasatkina winning 5 and Madison Keys winning 22.
- The last match between Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 09-01-2025, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-1 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:25:19.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys have played a deciding set 3 times, with Daria Kasatkina winning 2 times and Madison Keys 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Daria Kasatkina winning 1, and Madison Keys 2.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Daria Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 75.73 while Madison Keys has played against players with an average rank of 48.73.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Daria Kasatkina has won 33% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Madison Keys has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Daria Kasatkina has converted 41.41% of breakpoint opportunities, and Madison Keys has converted 38.58% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches Won | 10 |
| 5 | Sets Won | 22 |
| 92 | Games Won | 153 |
| 5 | Aces (Total) | 61 |
| 50 | Total Double Faults | 21 |
| 1:25:19 | Average Match Time | 1:25:19 |
| 69% (530/772) | 1st Serve % | 65% (516/799) |
| 55% (291/530) | 1st Serve Win % | 67% (345/516) |
| 36% (86/240) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (131/280) |
| 41% (36/88) | Break Pts Won % | 50% (64/128) |
| 40% (323/799) | Return Points Win % | 51% (395/772) |
| 17% (2/12) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 83% (10/12) |
| 67% (2/3) | Deciding Set Win % | 33% (1/3) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 91% (10/11) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 9% (1/11) |
| 9% (1/11) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Kasatkina 42%, Keys 47%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Kasatkina 59%, Keys 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Kasatkina 52%, Keys 58%.
D. Kasatkina Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Sonay KartalS. Kartal | L | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Korea Open - Seoul - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Katerina SiniakovaK. Siniakova | L | 7-6(2) 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R3  Naomi OsakaN. Osaka | L | 6-0 4-6 6-3 | ||
R2  Kamilla RakhimovaK. Rakhimova | W | 6-2 4-6 7-5 | ||
R1  Elena Gabriela RuseE. Gabriela | W | 7-5 6-1 | ||
M. Keys Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | L | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
Robin  Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek | L | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R1  Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua | L | 6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5 | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
R4  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 | ||
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito | W | 6-4 6-0 | ||
D. Kasatkina vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 62.83% (404/239) | YTD Win/Loss | 64.27% (421/234) |
| 59.13% (884/611) | Sets Win/Loss | 62.25% (935/567) |
| 53.81% (7349/6309) | Games Win/Loss | 54.63% (7694/6389) |
| 57.68% (184/135) | Hard Win/Loss | 64.12% (252/141) |
| 69.39% (136/60) | Clay Win/Loss | 64.47% (98/54) |
| 68.12% (47/22) | Indoor Hard W/L | 50.00% (17/17) |
| 62.71% (37/22) | Grass Win/Loss | 71.05% (54/22) |
| 0.13 | Aces Per Game | 0.42 |
| 855 | Aces Total | 2893 |
| 0.34 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.21 |
| 2255 | Total Double Faults | 1416 |
| 1:25:54 | Average Match Time | 1:19:25 |
| 301.84 | Average Opponent Rank | 354.36 |
| 68% (26500/39180) | 1st Serve % | 63% (25508/40424) |
| 61% (16085/26500) | 1st Serve Win % | 69% (17495/25508) |
| 43% (5452/12676) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (7162/14899) |
| 49% (2651/5407) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 44% (2121/4838) |
| 48% (18937/39864) | Return Points Win % | 43% (18091/41631) |
| 61.54% (64/40) | Slam W/L | 70.86% (124/51) |
| 52.25% (93/85) | Masters W/L | 55.77% (116/92) |
| 83.33% (5/1) | Cups W/L | 44.44% (4/5) |
| 64.21% (174/97) | Main Tour W/L | 66.32% (126/64) |
| 79.41% (54/14) | Challenger W/L | 64.91% (37/20) |
| 87.50% (14/2) | Futures W/L | 87.50% (14/2) |
| 63% (397/634) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 65% (417/643) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 25% (1/4) |
| 49% (56/114) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (102/177) |
| 61% (134/218) | Deciding Set Win % | 53% (104/197) |
| 91% (360/327) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 87% (426/369) |
| 9% (360/32) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 13% (426/56) |
| 27% (282/75) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 22% (229/51) |
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