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Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Kasatkina vs Keys analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kasatkina has won 43.17% of points on his second serve, while Keys has won 50%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kasatkina, in recent form, has won 59.85% of his opponent's second serve points, while Keys has won 47.95%. The same stats for first serve returns are 38.52% and 30.29% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Kasatkina has saved 56.55% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Keys has saved 62.12% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Kasatkina has won 66.2% of matches played (W/L 47/ 24), with Keys winning 64.71% (W/L 22/ 12) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 127/ 52), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114). Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15).
  • Player level: In the last year, Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.7% of matches (W/L 23/ 10), where as Keys has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 10/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 11 times before with Kasatkina winning 2 times. They have played 25 sets in total, with Kasatkina winning 5 and Keys winning 20. The last match between Kasatkina and Keys was at the Rothesay International - Eastbourne, 01-07-2023, Final, Grass with Madison Keys getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:27:49.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Kasatkina and Keys have played a deciding set 3 times, with Kasatkina winning 2 times and Keys 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Kasatkina winning 1, and Keys 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 111.14 while Keys has played against players with an average rank of 122.15.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kasatkina has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Keys has won 44% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Kasatkina has converted 46.53% of breakpoint opportunities, and Keys has converted 35.29% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Kasatkina 2 - 9 Keys

Daria Kasatkina

13

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

1

Minor

11

Rank

8

High

26

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

9

1

Hard

8

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

20

Rank

7

High

29

Age

R

Plays

Madison Keys

11

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

2

Total

9

1

Hard

8

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

1

W W L W L W W W W L

Form

L L L L W L W W L L

64% (361-203)

Career Total W/L

63% (363-210)

64% (16-9)

YTD W/L

50% (3-3)

$7,921,101

Career Prize Money

$14,618,837

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Kasatkina VS Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Daria Kasatkina Madison Keys
All H2H Matches 2 9
Sets Won 5 20
Games Won 88 141
Aces (Total) 5 50
DFs (Total) 47 21
Avg Match Time 1:27:49 1:27:49
1st Serve % 69% (503/727) 64% (481/747)
1st Serve Win% 55% (275/503) 66% (318/481)
2nd Serve Win% 37% (82/222) 46% (122/263)
BPs Won% (Total) 42% (36/86) 49% (60/123)
Return Points W% 41% (307/747) 51% (370/727)
Best of 3 Sets W% 18% (2/11) 82% (9/11)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 90% (10/9)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 10% (10/1)
1st set L, W 10% (10/1) 0% (1/0)

Kasatkina VS Keys H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 7-6(13)
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Daria Kasatkina
78% ( 60 of 77)
1st Serve %
87% ( 59 of 68)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 31 of 59)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
38% ( 29 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 34 of 68)
82
Total Points Won
63
6-7(5) 6-4 6-2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Madison Keys
81% ( 84 of 104)
1st Serve %
64% ( 73 of 114)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 38 of 73)
20% ( 4 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 15 of 41)
42% ( 10 of 24)
Break Points Won
54% ( 7 of 13)
47% ( 49 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 61 of 114)
116
Total Points Won
102
6-4 6-3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Daria Kasatkina
58% ( 38 of 66)
1st Serve %
77% ( 48 of 62)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
61% ( 23 of 38)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 6 of 14)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
45% ( 30 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
60
7-6(4) 2-6 6-3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Madison Keys
70% ( 71 of 101)
1st Serve %
70% ( 74 of 106)
2
Aces
9
7
Double Faults
3
65% ( 46 of 71)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 47 of 74)
30% ( 9 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 9 of 32)
30% ( 6 of 20)
Break Points Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
46% ( 46 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 50 of 106)
105
Total Points Won
102
6-3 6-1
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Daria Kasatkina
73% ( 38 of 52)
1st Serve %
61% ( 30 of 49)
4
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
9
63% ( 24 of 38)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
57% ( 8 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
38% ( 20 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 30 of 49)
62
Total Points Won
39
6-3 6-4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Daria Kasatkina
46% ( 25 of 54)
1st Serve %
54% ( 27 of 50)
5
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
7
68% ( 17 of 25)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
48% ( 14 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
43% ( 23 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 28 of 50)
59
Total Points Won
45
6-4 6-1
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Daria Kasatkina
51% ( 28 of 55)
1st Serve %
69% ( 46 of 67)
4
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
2
86% ( 24 of 28)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 23 of 46)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
27% ( 4 of 15)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 34 of 67)
71
Total Points Won
51
6-2 6-4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Daria Kasatkina
75% ( 41 of 55)
1st Serve %
64% ( 37 of 58)
5
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
6
63% ( 26 of 41)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
43% ( 6 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
42% ( 23 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 32 of 58)
64
Total Points Won
49
6-2 6-1
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Daria Kasatkina
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve %
52% ( 17 of 33)
7
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
53
Total Points Won
27
6-1 4-6 6-4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Daria Kasatkina
58% ( 45 of 78)
1st Serve %
64% ( 58 of 90)
6
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 34 of 58)
58% ( 19 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 14 of 32)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
35% ( 27 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 42 of 90)
93
Total Points Won
75
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Daria Kasatkina Madison Keys
YTD W/L 64% (16/9) 50% (3/3)
Sets Win/Loss 57% (35/26) 50% (7/7)
Games Win/Loss 52% (296/276) 48% (67/72)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (12/8) 60% (3/2)
Clay Win/Loss 80% (4/1) 0% (0/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.14 0.36
Aces Total 39 24
DFs per game 0.42 0.24
DFs Total 117 16
Avg Match Time 1:52:14 1:45:23
Avg Opp Rank 117.2 209.67
1st Serve % 68% (1281/1896) 65% (309/476)
1st Serve W% 60% (772/1281) 64% (198/309)
2nd Serve W% 43% (264/615) 49% (82/167)
BPs Won% Total 46% (121/264) 40% (17/42)
Return Pts W% 46% (912/1971) 40% (184/458)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 43% (3/4) 60% (3/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 75% (12/4) 0% (0/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 64% (16/25) 50% (3/6)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (3/6) 100% (2/2)
Deciding Set W% 73% (8/11) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 87% (15/13) 75% (4/3)
1st set W, L 13% (15/2) 25% (4/1)
1st set L, W 30% (10/3) 0% (2/0)

Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Daria Kasatkina
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
59% ( 42 of 71)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 27 of 42)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 36 of 71)
69
Total Points Won
45
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71% ( 73 of 103)
1st Serve %
60% ( 75 of 125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52% ( 38 of 73)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 45 of 75)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 19 of 50)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
73% ( 8 of 11)
50% ( 52 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 125)
112
Total Points Won
116
W
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve %
53% ( 57 of 108)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
4
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 17 of 51)
50% ( 10 of 20)
Break Points Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
47% ( 45 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 57 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
96
W
6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anhelina Kalinina
59% ( 32 of 54)
1st Serve %
67% ( 40 of 60)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
47% ( 15 of 32)
1st Serve Won
33% ( 13 of 40)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
82% ( 9 of 11)
Break Points Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
54% ( 29 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 41 of 60)
66
Total Points Won
48
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Ashlyn Krueger
61% ( 52 of 85)
1st Serve %
70% ( 50 of 71)
1
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
3
58% ( 30 of 52)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 32 of 50)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
46% ( 39 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
79
Total Points Won
77
W
6-3 0-6 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Sorana Cirstea
Player
Daria Kasatkina
60% ( 33 of 55)
1st Serve %
71% ( 42 of 59)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
61% ( 20 of 33)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 29 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
50
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Claire Liu
62% ( 13 of 21)
1st Serve %
59% ( 24 of 41)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
85% ( 11 of 13)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
38% ( 3 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
33% ( 7 of 21)
Rtn Points Won
63% ( 26 of 41)
40
Total Points Won
22
W
6-0 1-0 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Yue Yuan
Player
Daria Kasatkina
55% ( 58 of 106)
1st Serve %
73% ( 64 of 88)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 34 of 64)
35% ( 17 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
49% ( 52 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 44 of 88)
98
Total Points Won
96
L
4-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Sloane Stephens
71% ( 65 of 91)
1st Serve %
67% ( 64 of 96)
1
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
1
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 35 of 64)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
46% ( 42 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 45 of 96)
94
Total Points Won
93
W
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Oceane Dodin
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve %
49% ( 35 of 72)
3
Aces
2
8
Double Faults
8
71% ( 36 of 51)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
42% ( 8 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 32 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
66
W
6-3 7-6(5) H2H

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Jaqueline Cristian
Player
Madison Keys
52% ( 45 of 86)
1st Serve %
66% ( 56 of 85)
0
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
4
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
49% ( 20 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
42% ( 36 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
88
Total Points Won
83
L
3-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
75% ( 47 of 63)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 19 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
71
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Xinyu Wang
59% ( 42 of 71)
1st Serve %
58% ( 51 of 88)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
0
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
66% ( 19 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 34 of 88)
83
Total Points Won
76
W
6-4 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Diana Shnaider
73% ( 49 of 67)
1st Serve %
69% ( 35 of 51)
8
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
34% ( 23 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
70
Total Points Won
48
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
0
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
1
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Hailey Baptiste
62% ( 83 of 133)
1st Serve %
51% ( 59 of 115)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
9
64% ( 53 of 83)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
46% ( 23 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 26 of 56)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
43% ( 57 of 133)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 50 of 115)
126
Total Points Won
122
W
6-4 4-6 7-6(4) H2H
Robin
cross
Caroline Garcia
Player
Madison Keys
54% ( 36 of 67)
1st Serve %
74% ( 49 of 66)
5
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
1
83% ( 30 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 11 of 17)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 16 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 66)
70
Total Points Won
63
L
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
Robin
cross
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Player
Madison Keys
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
67% ( 37 of 55)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
68% ( 32 of 47)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
68
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 46 of 72)
1st Serve %
64% ( 44 of 69)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
40% ( 29 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
75
Total Points Won
66
L
6-2 7-6(5) H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 64 of 98)
1st Serve %
69% ( 76 of 110)
12
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
3
64% ( 41 of 64)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 47 of 76)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
39% ( 38 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 47 of 110)
107
Total Points Won
101
L
0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5) H2H

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