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Daria Kasatkina vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Kasatkina vs Paolini analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Daria Kasatkina vs Jasmine Paolini Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kasatkina has won 43.17% of points on his second serve, while Paolini has won 47.27%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kasatkina, in recent form, has won 59.85% of his opponent's second serve points, while Paolini has won 55.53%. The same stats for first serve returns are 38.52% and 40.15% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Kasatkina has saved 56.55% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Paolini has saved 55.65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Kasatkina has won 66.2% of matches played (W/L 47/ 24), with Paolini winning 64.56% (W/L 51/ 28) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 127/ 52), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114). Paolini has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 203/ 119), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
  • Player level: In the last year, Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.7% of matches (W/L 23/ 10), where as Paolini has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60.71% of matches (W/L 17/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Kasatkina winning 2 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Kasatkina winning 6 and Paolini winning 7. The last match between Kasatkina and Paolini was at the Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo, 21-07-2023, Quarterfinals, Clay with Jasmine Paolini getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:44:40.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Kasatkina and Paolini have played a deciding set 3 times, with Kasatkina winning 1 times and Paolini 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Kasatkina winning 0, and Paolini 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 111.14 while Paolini has played against players with an average rank of 133.86.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kasatkina has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Paolini has won 72% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Kasatkina has converted 46.53% of breakpoint opportunities, and Paolini has converted 51.88% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Kasatkina 2 - 3 Paolini

Daria Kasatkina

13

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

1

Minor

11

Rank

8

High

26

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

3

0

Hard

0

2

Clay

3

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

14

Rank

14

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Jasmine Paolini

13

Total

1

Mast

8

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

3

Minor

2

Total

3

0

Hard

0

2

Clay

3

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W L W W W W L

Form

W W W W W L W L W W

64% (361-203)

Career Total W/L

58% (369-264)

64% (16-9)

YTD W/L

67% (14-7)

$7,921,101

Career Prize Money

$2,141,786

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Kasatkina VS Paolini H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Daria Kasatkina Jasmine Paolini
All H2H Matches 2 3
Sets Won 6 7
Games Won 69 65
Aces (Total) 5 2
DFs (Total) 13 8
Avg Match Time 1:44:40 1:44:40
1st Serve % 67% (211/314) 69% (282/410)
1st Serve Win% 54% (113/211) 51% (144/282)
2nd Serve Win% 41% (42/103) 47% (60/128)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (26/78) 62% (26/42)
Return Points W% 50% (206/410) 51% (159/314)
Best of 3 Sets W% 40% (2/5) 60% (3/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
1st set W, W 67% (3/2) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 33% (3/1) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 33% (3/1)

Kasatkina VS Paolini H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 4-6 6-3
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Daria Kasatkina
75% ( 78 of 104)
1st Serve %
77% ( 63 of 82)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
53% ( 41 of 78)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 34 of 63)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 8 of 19)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
47% ( 49 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 40 of 82)
95
Total Points Won
91
5-7 6-4 6-4
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Daria Kasatkina
61% ( 94 of 154)
1st Serve %
56% ( 58 of 103)
0
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
3
51% ( 48 of 94)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 26 of 58)
43% ( 26 of 60)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 19 of 45)
69% ( 11 of 16)
Break Points Won
29% ( 10 of 34)
52% ( 80 of 154)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 58 of 103)
132
Total Points Won
125
6-2 6-3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jasmine Paolini
66% ( 33 of 50)
1st Serve %
65% ( 41 of 63)
1
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
2
70% ( 23 of 33)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 17 of 41)
29% ( 5 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
35% ( 6 of 17)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
44% ( 22 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 35 of 63)
63
Total Points Won
50
7-6(6) 6-3
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Daria Kasatkina
78% ( 69 of 89)
1st Serve %
72% ( 57 of 79)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
55% ( 38 of 69)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 30 of 57)
45% ( 9 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
47% ( 42 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 39 of 79)
86
Total Points Won
82
6-1 4-6 10-7

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Daria Kasatkina Jasmine Paolini
YTD W/L 64% (16/9) 67% (14/7)
Sets Win/Loss 57% (35/26) 65% (31/17)
Games Win/Loss 52% (296/276) 54% (248/213)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (12/8) 67% (12/6)
Clay Win/Loss 80% (4/1) 100% (2/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.14 0.13
Aces Total 39 29
DFs per game 0.42 0.14
DFs Total 117 31
Avg Match Time 1:52:14 1:37:41
Avg Opp Rank 117.2 159.48
1st Serve % 68% (1281/1896) 69% (999/1458)
1st Serve W% 60% (772/1281) 63% (625/999)
2nd Serve W% 43% (264/615) 48% (221/459)
BPs Won% Total 46% (121/264) 56% (87/156)
Return Pts W% 46% (912/1971) 45% (668/1471)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 75% (3/1)
Masters W/L 43% (3/4) 73% (8/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 75% (12/4) 50% (3/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 64% (16/25) 67% (14/21)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (3/6) 100% (4/4)
Deciding Set W% 73% (8/11) 50% (3/6)
1st set W, W 87% (15/13) 100% (12/12)
1st set W, L 13% (15/2) 0% (12/0)
1st set L, W 30% (10/3) 22% (9/2)

Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Daria Kasatkina
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
59% ( 42 of 71)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 27 of 42)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 36 of 71)
69
Total Points Won
45
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71% ( 73 of 103)
1st Serve %
60% ( 75 of 125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52% ( 38 of 73)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 45 of 75)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 19 of 50)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
73% ( 8 of 11)
50% ( 52 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 125)
112
Total Points Won
116
W
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve %
53% ( 57 of 108)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
4
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 17 of 51)
50% ( 10 of 20)
Break Points Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
47% ( 45 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 57 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
96
W
6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anhelina Kalinina
59% ( 32 of 54)
1st Serve %
67% ( 40 of 60)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
47% ( 15 of 32)
1st Serve Won
33% ( 13 of 40)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
82% ( 9 of 11)
Break Points Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
54% ( 29 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 41 of 60)
66
Total Points Won
48
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Ashlyn Krueger
61% ( 52 of 85)
1st Serve %
70% ( 50 of 71)
1
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
3
58% ( 30 of 52)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 32 of 50)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
46% ( 39 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
79
Total Points Won
77
W
6-3 0-6 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Sorana Cirstea
Player
Daria Kasatkina
60% ( 33 of 55)
1st Serve %
71% ( 42 of 59)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
61% ( 20 of 33)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 29 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
50
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Claire Liu
62% ( 13 of 21)
1st Serve %
59% ( 24 of 41)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
85% ( 11 of 13)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
38% ( 3 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
33% ( 7 of 21)
Rtn Points Won
63% ( 26 of 41)
40
Total Points Won
22
W
6-0 1-0 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Yue Yuan
Player
Daria Kasatkina
55% ( 58 of 106)
1st Serve %
73% ( 64 of 88)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 34 of 64)
35% ( 17 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
49% ( 52 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 44 of 88)
98
Total Points Won
96
L
4-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Sloane Stephens
71% ( 65 of 91)
1st Serve %
67% ( 64 of 96)
1
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
1
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 35 of 64)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
46% ( 42 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 45 of 96)
94
Total Points Won
93
W
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Oceane Dodin
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve %
49% ( 35 of 72)
3
Aces
2
8
Double Faults
8
71% ( 36 of 51)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
42% ( 8 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 32 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
66
W
6-3 7-6(5) H2H

Jasmine Paolini Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
W
7-6(8) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Sara Errani
61% ( 20 of 33)
1st Serve %
68% ( 26 of 38)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
90% ( 18 of 20)
1st Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 8 of 33)
Rtn Points Won
71% ( 27 of 38)
52
Total Points Won
19
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Jasmine Paolini
70% ( 51 of 73)
1st Serve %
63% ( 56 of 89)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
65% ( 33 of 51)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 30 of 56)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 12 of 33)
37% ( 7 of 19)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
40% ( 29 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 47 of 89)
91
Total Points Won
71
L
6-2 3-6 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Katie Volynets
62% ( 49 of 79)
1st Serve %
83% ( 69 of 83)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
71% ( 35 of 49)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 44 of 69)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
14% ( 2 of 14)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
37% ( 29 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 37 of 83)
87
Total Points Won
75
W
7-6(8) 7-5 H2H
R4
cross
Anastasia Potapova
Player
Jasmine Paolini
60% ( 46 of 77)
1st Serve %
68% ( 55 of 81)
2
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
4
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 36 of 55)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
40% ( 31 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 34 of 81)
80
Total Points Won
78
L
7-5 0-6 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Anna Kalinskaya
60% ( 49 of 82)
1st Serve %
67% ( 67 of 100)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
10
69% ( 34 of 49)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 43 of 67)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 14 of 33)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
37% ( 30 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 43 of 100)
95
Total Points Won
87
W
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Tatjana Maria
66% ( 39 of 59)
1st Serve %
43% ( 26 of 60)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
7
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 15 of 26)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 22 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 32 of 60)
69
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Anna Kalinskaya
68% ( 63 of 92)
1st Serve %
66% ( 60 of 91)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
60% ( 38 of 63)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 32 of 60)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
75% ( 6 of 8)
41% ( 38 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 42 of 91)
96
Total Points Won
87
W
4-6 7-5 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Sorana Cirstea
71% ( 49 of 69)
1st Serve %
67% ( 64 of 96)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 35 of 64)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 13 of 32)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
43% ( 30 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 48 of 96)
87
Total Points Won
78
W
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
QF
W
w/o H2H

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