Daria Kasatkina vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
D. Kasatkina vs A. Sabalenka
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
l
l
l
2
Win
9
Played
7
Win
28
Age
27
1.70m
Height
1.82m
37
C. Rank
1
8
Best Rank
1
8
Total Titles
21
0
YTD Titles
4
$10.2M
Career Money
$36.5M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
w
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
2
Win
9
Played
7
Win
28
Age
27
1.70m
Height
1.82m
37
C. Rank
1
8
Best Rank
1
8
Total Titles
21
0
YTD Titles
4
$10.2M
Career Money
$36.5M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-Handed
Head-to-head: Kasatkina 2 - 7 Sabalenka
They have played 19 sets in total, with Daria Kasatkina winning 4 and Aryna Sabalenka winning 15. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina was at the Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin, 20-06-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-1 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Kasatkina | 2 |
| Sabalenka | 7 |
Last 9 H2H Matches:
(R2) Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin(06-20-24)
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
Daria Kasatkina
1
4
(QF) Brisbane International - Brisbane(01-05-24)
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
Daria Kasatkina
1
4
(R4) U.S. Open - New York(09-04-23)
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
Daria Kasatkina
1
3
D. Kasatkina vs A. Sabalenka H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $10,172,432 | Career Prize Money | $36,531,203 |
| 62.83% (404-239) | Career Total W/L | 70.78% (487-201) |
| 0 | Clay | 2 |
| 0 | Grass | 1 |
| 2 | Hard | 4 |
| 15 | Titles | 27 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 7 |
| 46.34% (19-22) | YTD Win/Loss | 84.00% (63-12) |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 4 |
D. Kasatkina vs A. Sabalenka Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Daria Kasatkina has won 36.31% of points on their second serve, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 41.23%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Daria Kasatkina, in recent form, has won 53.80% of their opponent's second serve points, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 46.56%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.95% and 30.66% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Daria Kasatkina has saved 45.08% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Aryna Sabalenka has saved 51.83% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Daria Kasatkina has won 46.34% of matches played (W/L 19/22), with Aryna Sabalenka winning 84.00% (W/L 63/12) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Daria Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 136/60), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 184/135). Aryna Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 69% (W/L 296/104), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 64% (W/L 45/25).
- Player level: In the last year, Daria Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 35.71% of matches (W/L 5/9), where as Aryna Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 81.58% of matches (W/L 31/7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Daria Kasatkina winning 2 times and Aryna Sabalenka being victorious 7 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Daria Kasatkina winning 4 and Aryna Sabalenka winning 15.
- The last match between Daria Kasatkina and Aryna Sabalenka was at the Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin, 20-06-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-1 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:30:28.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Daria Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 75.02 while Aryna Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 48.88.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Daria Kasatkina has won 33% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Daria Kasatkina has converted 40.94% of breakpoint opportunities, and Aryna Sabalenka has converted 33.19% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Daria Kasatkina vs Aryna Sabalenka Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
D. Kasatkina vs A. Sabalenka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches Won | 7 |
| 4 | Sets Won | 15 |
| 71 | Games Won | 107 |
| 10 | Aces (Total) | 30 |
| 41 | Total Double Faults | 50 |
| 1:30:28 | Average Match Time | 1:30:28 |
| 68% (414/610) | 1st Serve % | 57% (324/572) |
| 55% (226/414) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (220/324) |
| 39% (76/196) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (117/248) |
| 42% (28/66) | Break Pts Won % | 52% (45/86) |
| 41% (235/572) | Return Points Win % | 50% (308/610) |
| 22% (2/9) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 78% (7/9) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 88% (7/8) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 13% (1/8) |
| 13% (1/8) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Kasatkina 42%, Sabalenka 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Kasatkina 59%, Sabalenka 59%.
Break Points Saved %: Kasatkina 52%, Sabalenka 65%.
D. Kasatkina Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Sonay KartalS. Kartal | L | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Korea Open - Seoul - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Katerina SiniakovaK. Siniakova | L | 7-6(2) 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R3  Naomi OsakaN. Osaka | L | 6-0 4-6 6-3 | ||
R2  Kamilla RakhimovaK. Rakhimova | W | 6-2 4-6 7-5 | ||
R1  Elena Gabriela RuseE. Gabriela | W | 7-5 6-1 | ||
A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
F  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-3 7-6(0) | ||
SF  Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | W | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | ||
Robin Cori GauffC. Gauff | W | 7-6(5) 6-2 | ||
Robin Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula | W | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | ||
Robin  Jasmine PaoliniJ. Paolini | W | 6-3 6-1 | ||
D. Kasatkina vs A. Sabalenka Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 62.83% (404/239) | YTD Win/Loss | 70.78% (487/201) |
| 59.13% (884/611) | Sets Win/Loss | 66.60% (1075/539) |
| 53.81% (7349/6309) | Games Win/Loss | 56.17% (8480/6618) |
| 57.68% (184/135) | Hard Win/Loss | 74.00% (296/104) |
| 69.39% (136/60) | Clay Win/Loss | 66.67% (100/50) |
| 68.12% (47/22) | Indoor Hard W/L | 65.79% (50/26) |
| 62.71% (37/22) | Grass Win/Loss | 66.13% (41/21) |
| 0.13 | Aces Per Game | 0.39 |
| 855 | Aces Total | 2856 |
| 0.34 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.39 |
| 2255 | Total Double Faults | 2867 |
| 1:25:54 | Average Match Time | 1st Match |
| 302.05 | Average Opponent Rank | 286.25 |
| 68% (26500/39180) | 1st Serve % | 61% (27907/46123) |
| 61% (16085/26500) | 1st Serve Win % | 69% (19218/27907) |
| 43% (5452/12676) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (8619/18205) |
| 49% (2651/5407) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 47% (2590/5538) |
| 48% (18937/39864) | Return Points Win % | 45% (20595/45860) |
| 61.54% (64/40) | Slam W/L | 77.78% (105/30) |
| 52.25% (93/85) | Masters W/L | 71.16% (153/62) |
| 83.33% (5/1) | Cups W/L | 62.50% (10/6) |
| 64.21% (174/97) | Main Tour W/L | 67.93% (125/59) |
| 79.41% (54/14) | Challenger W/L | 64.89% (61/33) |
| 87.50% (14/2) | Futures W/L | 75.00% (33/11) |
| 63% (397/634) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 71% (484/684) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 49% (56/114) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 61% (112/183) |
| 61% (134/218) | Deciding Set Win % | 57% (137/241) |
| 91% (360/327) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 89% (464/414) |
| 9% (360/32) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 11% (464/49) |
| 27% (282/75) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 32% (224/72) |
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