Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

What does the second serve reveal about Daniil Medvedev and Jan-Lennard Struff in the last six months? Medvedev edges slightly ahead, securing 47.57% of points on his second serve, compared to Struff’s 46.97%. This minor distinction hints at a possible favorite, considering the high correlation of this statistic with match prediction accuracy.

Looking at return stats provides deeper insight into their on-court prowess. When it comes to returning second serves, Medvedev has captured 53.4% of his rivals’ points, whereas Struff is close behind with 52.65%. First serve return stats further tilt the scale with Medvedev at 33.4%, substantially ahead of Struff’s 24.86%. The numbers here weigh heavily when speculating who might dominate the head-to-head battle.

Evaluating player performance under pressure, Medvedev has successfully fended off 62.22% of breakpoints recently, surpassing Struff’s 58.87%. Such data is particularly advantageous for in-game betting. Over the past year, Medvedev won 65.71% of his matches (W/L 46/24), a clear advantage over Struff’s 58% (W/L 29/21), thereby offering an insightful preview for head-to-head encounters.

When we consider people's preferred surfaces, Medvedev shines on Hard courts with a 76% win rate (W/L 250/81), though Clay comes as his least favorable at 65% (W/L 88/48). Conversely, Struff excels on Clay courts, winning 62% (W/L 272/168) but struggles on Grass with a 45% win rate (W/L 28/34). Such surface preferences contribute to forecasting potential match outcomes.

Examining player levels, Medvedev has predominantly been part of the Masters series, boasting a 66.67% win rate (W/L 18/9), while Struff mainly participates in the Main tour with a 62.5% win rate (W/L 15/9). These numbers matter when evaluating their readiness and performance at varied event tiers.

Direct encounters reveal Medvedev's dominance, having won 8 out of their 10 matches, and 18 of the 26 sets played. Their last meeting was at the Open 13 Provence in Marseille on 14-02-2025, where Medvedev triumphed 6-3, 6-2. The average match time between them is 1:37:21, yet the question lingers—who prevails under intensive situations?

If the match extends to a decisive third set, history favors Medvedev, who stands undefeated in deciding sets against Struff. In terms of tiebreak clashes, they are evenly matched, each securing 3. An equally significant indicator is opponent quality, where Medvedev’s average competitor rank over the past year is 49.21, much tougher than Struff’s 80. As matches progress to a deciding set, Medvedev has a higher conversion rate of 61% compared to Struff's 41%.

Ultimately, critical stats such as breakpoint conversion tell a compelling story. With Medvedev converting 41.02% of opportunities compared to Struff’s 30.09%, it's evident who seizes advantage more efficiently. Considering all these elements, Medvedev’s consistent superiority across key performance metrics suggests he is the likely victor in this matchup.