Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve effectiveness shows Daniil Medvedev slightly ahead, winning 44.62% of points compared to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's 44.19%.
• Return game analysis reveals Medvedev with an advantage in winning opponent's second serve points (46.77% vs. 43.71%) but Fokina excels on first serve returns (28.70% vs. 25.19%). Which factor might weigh more heavily in their matchup?
• Regarding pressure scenarios, Medvedev is stronger, saving 58.63% of breakpoints, outperforming Fokina’s 53.82%.
• Last year's performance indicates Fokina with a slightly higher win rate (61.54%) compared to Medvedev's 57.89%, but does this translate to current form?
• Both players perform best on Hard courts, with Medvedev reaching a 75% career win rate, clearly better than Fokina’s 61% on the same surface.
• Main tour victories in the last year highlight Medvedev's 65.38% success rate, marginally surpassing Fokina’s 62.86%.
• Direct encounters favor Medvedev with 4 wins out of 5 matches, securing 9 sets to Fokina's 4 across their meetings. Does this dominance suggest an impending victory for Medvedev?
• Average match duration between them stands at 1:49:34, with deciding sets tilting slightly towards Medvedev, who has claimed 2 out of 3.
• Facing quality opponents, Medvedev played against higher-ranked competition (average rank 55.91) compared to Fokina’s (average rank 60.89), indicating higher exposure to elite playing conditions.
• If this match extends to a deciding set, both players have an equal winning record of 50% over the past year.

Editorial Prediction (September 28, 2025, UTC):

Both athletes exhibit competitive second serve stats, with Daniil Medvedev holding a slight advantage. Despite Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's stronger first serve returns, Medvedev's overall return game marks him as potentially more effective.

Under pressure, Medvedev’s efficiency in saving breakpoints could influence the match dynamics, offering him a psychological edge during pivotal moments. His superior performance on Hard courts, combined with a track record of overcoming higher-ranked opponents, positions him as a formidable contender.

Medvedev's head-to-head success against Fokina further underscores his dominance, coupled with a better adaptation to playing under pressure in deciding sets, solidifies his prospects.

Taking into consideration all these factors, Daniil Medvedev emerges as the likely favorite to win the upcoming tennis match.