Daniil Medvedev vs Adrian Mannarino Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve statistics show Mannarino with a slight edge, winning 45.49% of points compared to Medvedev's 43.57%. How might this impact the match? It could potentially benefit Mannarino but only marginally.
• When it comes to return games, Mannarino also holds a small advantage by winning 47.77% of his opponent's second serve points versus Medvedev's 46.44%.
• Looking at first serve returns, Mannarino again shows a slight lead with 27.61% against Medvedev's 27.18%.
• Under pressure, Medvedev excels by saving 55.09% of breakpoints, compared to Mannarino's 52.55%, showing more resilience in crucial moments.
• Overall match performance over the last year favors Medvedev, who has won 60.66% of his matches, while Mannarino has won just 32.79%.
• On hard courts, Medvedev is particularly strong, winning 75% of his career matches, while Mannarino performs best on grass with a 60% win rate.
• Medvedev has been competing at a higher level on the Masters series and has a 59.09% match win rate, whereas Mannarino's Main tour rate is lower at 32.14%.
• Their head-to-head encounters are even, with each player winning 4 matches; however, Medvedev leads in sets won, 12 to Mannarino's 9.
• Should the match reach a deciding set, Mannarino has historically excelled, winning two such scenarios against Medvedev's zero.
• Medvedev has had better success in tiebreaks against Mannarino, winning 2 out of 2.
• Considering their recent opponent quality, Medvedev has faced tougher competition, taking on players with an average rank of 52.46 compared to Mannarino's 151.66.
• Medvedev shows a better break point conversion rate at 33.95%, while Mannarino stands at 27.14%.

Editorial Prediction (June 12, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match between Daniil Medvedev and Adrian Mannarino presents an intriguing clash of strengths. While Mannarino boasts slightly better recent serve and return stats, Medvedev's resilience in high-pressure situations and significant success in break point conversions grant him an edge.

The historical head-to-head record is finely balanced, yet Medvedev has generally faced tougher opponents and has performed better on the same hard surface they face today. Furthermore, Medvedev performs exceptionally well in Masters-level tournaments compared to Mannarino.

Considering all elements, from surface preference to current form and level of opposition, Daniil Medvedev is favored as the more likely winner of their upcoming encounter.