Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Michael Geerts Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Michael Geerts secures 48.29% of points on his second serve in the last six months; Daniel Merida Aguilar achieves 43.45%—does this provide Geerts an advantage?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Geerts takes 46.44% of points from his opponents, while Aguilar performs slightly better with 49.71%.
• In first serve returns, Aguilar leads by capturing 30.54% of points compared to Geerts' 24.79%. Could this make Aguilar a preferred match favorite?
• Under pressure, Geerts is more adept at saving breakpoints with a 56.49% save rate, exceeding Aguilar's 51.66%.
• Over the past year, Aguilar's match win percentage is stronger at 65.75% compared to Geerts' 54.43%, indicating an edge in consistent performance.
• Geerts shines on hard surfaces with a 62% win rate, while Aguilar is most successful on clay, also winning 62% of matches. Could the surface type dictate the match outcome?
• In Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, Aguilar exhibits a superior match winning rate of 61.54%, overshadowing Geerts' 49.09%.
• Aguilar has faced slightly stronger competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 315.14 compared to Geerts' 352.48.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Aguilar holds an impressive 71% win rate, surpassing Geerts' 52%.
• It's crucial to consider current event form and specific event performance, as these factors can influence the match outcome.

Editorial Prediction (October 21, 2025, UTC):

The head-to-head comparison between Michael Geerts and Daniel Merida Aguilar reveals important aspects favoring both players, yet Aguilar's dominance in match win rates throughout the last year indicates a stronger overall performance.

Geerts' slightly superior second serve effectiveness could grant him an edge during serve games; however, Aguilar's proficiency in returning first serves may counteract this advantage.

Aguilar has consistently proven to excel under pressure in decisive moments such as final sets, paired with his ability to combat higher-ranked opponents.

Considering Aguilar's impressive record in tough matches and his high performance on clay courts, where this match is perhaps set, Aguilar appears to be the favorite to win this encounter.