Daisuke Sumizawa vs Chase Ferguson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Ferguson has won 42.13% of points on second serves, whereas Sumizawa has a higher success rate at 47.43%. Could this difference indicate Sumizawa's edge? Yes, it could favor them.
• Return Game Performance: Sumizawa outpaces Ferguson with a 47.87% success rate returning opponents' second serves compared to Ferguson's 45.03%. For first serves, Ferguson slightly leads with 27.12% over Sumizawa’s 25.9%.
• Under Pressure: Ferguson has demonstrated a strong ability to save breakpoints, succeeding 51.43% of the time, which surpasses Sumizawa’s 45.97%—a significant factor during high-stakes moments.
• Match Performance: With a match win rate of 62.96%, Sumizawa slightly edges out Ferguson's 61.11% win rate over the past year.
• Preferred Surface: Ferguson is most successful on Clay with a 64% win rate, while Sumizawa excels on Indoor Hard courts with a 63% win rate. Grass seems to be a challenging surface for both players.
• Level of Competition: Both players frequently compete in Futures/Satellite/ITF $10K tournaments, where Sumizawa shows a marginally better win percentage.
• Head-to-Head: In their previous encounters, Ferguson leads with one victory, whereas Sumizawa is yet to win. Their last match on Hard courts ended in a decisive win for Ferguson.
• Deciding Set Performance: Ferguson has a 63% success rate in deciding sets over the last year, suggesting greater resilience compared to Sumizawa's 47%.
• Break Point Conversion: Sumizawa has shown better breakpoint conversion with 42.86%, a critical aspect in shifting match momentum, as Ferguson lags behind at a 24.21% conversion rate.
• Opponent Toughness: Sumizawa has faced tougher competition on average, with their opponents ranked at 282.44 versus Ferguson’s 378.25.

Editorial Prediction (July 24, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Ferguson and Sumizawa promises to be competitive, with both players having distinct advantages. Sumizawa’s stronger performance in second serve points and better breakpoint conversion considerably bolster their potential to control the match dynamics.

Ferguson, on the other hand, exhibits remarkable resilience under pressure, with superior breakpoint saving capabilities. Their proficiency in deciding sets is also noteworthy and could prove critical if the match extends.

While Ferguson has the historical edge in direct competitions between the two, several factors suggest Sumizawa might have the upper hand. Given Sumizawa's higher win percentage, tougher competition faced, and efficient return game, they are likely to emerge as the winner in this match.