Cori Gauff vs Sofia Kenin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the statistics for the upcoming tennis match between Cori Gauff and Sofia Kenin, there are several factors to consider to predict the favorite. One of the key metrics is second serve performance in recent form. In the past six months, Gauff has secured 40.5% of points on her second serve, while Kenin has slightly edged her with 41.79%. This statistic is crucial as it holds a high correlation with match predictions.

Breaking down the return game stats, Gauff has excelled in winning 55.99% of her opponent's second serve points, compared to Kenin’s 47.59%. For first serve return points, Gauff and Kenin are almost neck and neck, with Gauff at 28.21% and Kenin very close at 28.05%. This head-to-head comparison gives a clear overview when identifying a favorite in this matchup.

Under pressure, Kenin has been slightly more proficient than Gauff; she has saved 55.02% of breakpoints against her, whereas Gauff has managed to save 49.1%. In conversion of breakpoints, Gauff has successfully converted 38.22% of them while Kenin’s rate is marginally less at 38.13%. These insights are particularly useful for live betting decisions.

Over the last year, Gauff's performance has been notable, winning 74.24% of matches with a record of 49 wins and 17 losses. In contrast, Kenin has won 51.92% of her matches, with a slightly less impressive win-loss record of 27-25. This provides a broader outlook on their overall form and potential in the matchup.

Surface performance also weighs into the analysis. Gauff has shown her best results on grass, with a career win percentage of 71% (24/10), while her performance on hard courts stands at 70% (141/61). Kenin, for her part, also excels on grass with a 62% win rate (21/13), and her performance dips on indoor hard courts with a 53% win rate (16/14).

In direct head-to-head encounters, both players have claimed two victories each out of four encounters. Gauff leads slightly in set wins, having taken six sets to Kenin’s four. Their last meeting at the Australian Open saw Gauff win convincingly with a scoreline of 6-3, 6-3. In matches that extend to a deciding set, Gauff has been victorious 61% of the time over the past 12 months, compared to Kenin’s 59% win rate, although Kenin has been stronger in this matchup specifically.

Looking at the opponent quality over the last year, Gauff has consistently played against tougher opponents with an average rank of 55.56, in comparison to Kenin’s opponents who have averaged a rank of 74.96. This indicates that Gauff has faced and prevailed against stronger competition.

Taking all factors into account, including recent form, head-to-head history, and performance metrics under various conditions, Gauff appears to have a slight upper hand going into this match. However, Kenin's ability to save breakpoints and perform under pressure suggests she can pose a significant challenge. Based on these stats, Gauff is marginally more likely to win this encounter.