Cori Gauff vs Naomi Osaka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Osaka has performed better on second serves, winning 42.43% of points compared to Gauff's 37.17%. Is this a significant advantage for Osaka?
• Gauff's return game slightly outpaces Osaka's on second serves with 53.31% versus 51.85%.
• When it comes to first serve returns, Gauff is notably stronger, winning 32.4% against Osaka's 25.99%.
• Osaka has saved 43.66% of breakpoints while Gauff edges out with 45.45%. This could be crucial under pressure situations.
• Gauff holds a higher match win percentage over the last year with 78.46% compared to Osaka’s 71.74%.
• Hard courts favor Osaka, with her winning 67% of matches on this surface, however, Gauff excels on clay with a 73% win rate.
• In Masters series events over the past year, Gauff has achieved a 75.61% win rate, slightly higher than Osaka’s 71.43%.
• In direct head-to-head matches, both players stand even with Osaka and Gauff each winning 2 matches, though Gauff has claimed 6 out of 11 sets.
• Their matches have averaged a duration of 1:24:26, highlighting close contests.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Gauff holds an advantage, winning 82% of such sets compared to Osaka's 60% over the last year.
• Break point conversions give Gauff an edge, converting 47.76% compared to Osaka's 33.33%.
• Although Osaka typically faces opponents with an average rank of 79.93, Gauff often faces stronger players with an average rank of 40.63.

Editorial Prediction (September 1, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Osaka and Gauff promises to be a tight contest. Although Osaka has a slight advantage on her second serve, Gauff's stronger first serve returns could counterbalance this edge.

Gauff's return game is also more aggressive, and her ability to save and convert break points may prove decisive in pressure situations. Furthermore, her experience against higher-ranked opponents could give her an additional confidence boost.

Historically, they've proved to be evenly matched, splitting their past encounters. Given Gauff's recent form and her performance in critical match moments, she seems likely to have a slight edge.

Based on these factors, Gauff appears to be the favorite to win this upcoming match, although the contest is expected to be closely contested.