Prediction of Cori Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini at WTA Finals - Riyadh 11-04-25
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 02 Nov at 10:32 PM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
C. Gauff vs J. Paolini
USA
3
Win
Played
3
Win
ITA
3
Win
Played
3
Win
C. Gauff Vs J. Paolini Picks
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Cori Gauff has a 58.02% chance to get the victory.
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| Match | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| C. Gauff | 58.02% | 1.65 |
| J. Paolini | 41.98% | 2.28 |
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Head-to-head: Gauff 3 - 3 Paolini
Cori Gauff and Jasmine Paolini have each won 7 sets out of the 14 they have contested. Their most recent encounter occurred at the Wuhan Open in Wuhan on November 10, 2025, during the semifinals on a hard court, where Cori Gauff triumphed with scores of 6-4, 6-3.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Gauff | 3 |
| Paolini | 3 |
Last 6 H2H Matches:
(SF) Wuhan Open - Wuhan(10-11-25)
(QF) Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati(08-15-25)
(F) Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(05-17-25)
C. Gauff Vs J. Paolini Best Odds
1x2
C. Gauff vs J. Paolini H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $18,646,214 | Career Prize Money | $8,519,140 |
| 70.77% (276-114) | Career Total W/L | 59.92% (444-297) |
| 0 | Clay | 2 |
| 3 | Hard | 1 |
| 12 | Titles | 14 |
| 3 | Total H2H Matches | 3 |
| 75.81% (47-15) | YTD Win/Loss | 70.77% (46-19) |
| 3 | YTD Titles | 1 |
C. Gauff vs J. Paolini Match Preview:
- In recent form, Jasmine Paolini shows stronger second serve performance, winning 42.79% of points compared to Cori Gauff's 37.52%.
- When returning second serves, Cori Gauff excels, winning 52.79% of opponent's points, while Jasmine Paolini stands at 48.50%.
- For returning first serves, Jasmine Paolini has a slight edge with 34.66% against Cori Gauff's 32.88%.
- Under pressure, Jasmine Paolini outperforms by saving 48.91% of break points, with Cori Gauff saving 44.36%.
- Overall match performance in the last year favors Cori Gauff, with a 76.12% win rate, compared to Jasmine Paolini’s 68.57%.
- Both players excel on clay, each having a career win rate of 73% on this surface.
- In Masters series matches, Cori Gauff has a higher win percentage (73.81%) than Jasmine Paolini (68.42%).
- Head-to-head, both players have won 3 of their past 6 encounters and each has taken 7 sets.
- They are matched evenly in deciding set encounters, each having won once when matches have gone the distance.
- Cori Gauff has faced stronger opponents recently, averaging a ranking of 39.69 compared to Paolini's opponents who averaged 58.27.
- If the match reaches a deciding set, Cori Gauff's winning percentage is higher at 81%, compared to Jasmine Paolini's 67%.
Editorial Prediction (November 2, 2025, UTC):
Cori Gauff and Jasmine Paolini are finely balanced opponents, each having won three matches in their head-to-head history. Their most recent meeting at the Wuhan Open saw Gauff take the win, reflecting her competitive edge in recent confrontations.
Jasmine Paolini displays a stronger second serve efficiency and performs better under breakpoint pressure. However, Gauff compensates with superior return game statistics and has faced stiffer competition over the past year, which may sharpen her performance in high-pressure matches.
Both athletes perform well on clay, but Gauff's edge in decisive set situations and her ability to adapt against tougher rivals suggest she may have a slight advantage.
Considering their overall comparative strengths and recent trends, Cori Gauff is favored to win this upcoming match. 이겨낼 것입니다.
Cori Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
C. Gauff vs J. Paolini H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 3 | H2H Matches Won | 3 |
| 7 | Sets Won | 7 |
| 68 | Games Won | 63 |
| 14 | Aces (Total) | 1 |
| 39 | Total Double Faults | 10 |
| 1:41:32 | Average Match Time | 1:41:32 |
| 59% (240/404) | 1st Serve % | 70% (325/462) |
| 62% (148/240) | 1st Serve Win % | 54% (177/325) |
| 40% (65/164) | 2nd Serve Win % | 45% (62/137) |
| 49% (31/63) | Break Pts Won % | 52% (27/52) |
| 48% (223/462) | Return Points Win % | 47% (191/404) |
| 50% (3/6) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 50% (3/6) |
| 50% (1/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 50% (1/2) |
| 75% (3/4) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (2/2) |
| 25% (1/4) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/2) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 25% (1/4) |
C. Gauff Vs J. Paolini Current Event Stats
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matches Played | 1 |
| 2:12:49 | Last Match Time | 1:10:41 |
| 2:12:49 | Total Time | 1:10:41 |
| 0.53 | Aces Per Game | 0.25 |
| 8 | Total Aces | 2 |
| 1.13 | Double Faults Count | 0 |
| 17 | Total Double Faults | 0 |
| 54% (62/115) | First Serve | 62% (36/58) |
| 65% (40/62) | 1st Serve Win % | 50% (18/36) |
| 28% (15/53) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (11/22) |
| 63% (5/8) | Break Points Converted | 25% (1/4) |
| 50% (9/18) | Break Points Saved | 29% (2/7) |
| 40% (6/15) | Service Hold % | 38% (3/8) |
| 67% (10/15) | Opponent Hold % | 88% (7/8) |
| 43% (40/92) | Return Points Win % | 37% (20/54) |
| 45.89% (95/207) | Total Points Won | 43.75% (49/112) |
| 100% (1/1) | Tiebreak Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 1.00 | Tiebreaks Per Match | 0.00 |
| 0% (1/0) | 1st Set Lose Count % | 0% (1/0) |
Currently displayed stats include matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer. Who do you back to make it through to the next round? We have predictions for every match in WTA Finals - Riyadh.
Recent Performance Stats
C. Gauff Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula | L | 6-3 6-7(4) 6-2 | ||
| Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025 | ||||
F Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula | W | 6-4 7-5 | ||
SF Jasmine PaoliniJ. Paolini | W | 6-4 6-3 | ||
QF  Laura SiegemundL. Siegemund | W | 6-3 6-0 | ||
R3  Shuai ZhangS. Zhang | W | 6-3 6-2 | ||
J. Paolini Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin  Aryna SabalenkaA. Sabalenka | L | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Ningbo Open - Ningbo - 13-10-2025 | ||||
SF  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-3 6-2 | ||
QF  Belinda BencicB. Bencic | W | 5-7 7-5 6-3 | ||
R2  Veronika KudermetovaV. Kudermetova | W | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025 | ||||
SF Cori GauffC. Gauff | L | 6-4 6-3 | ||
Where To Watch Gauff vs Paolini?
When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Gauff Vs Paolini is now available here.
C. Gauff vs J. Paolini Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 66.67% (14/7) | YTD Win/Loss | 51.85% (42/39) |
| 61.22% (30/19) | Sets Win/Loss | 50.78% (98/95) |
| 52.32% (248/226) | Games Win/Loss | 49.58% (882/897) |
| 0.33 | Aces Per Game | 0.11 |
| 77 | Aces Total | 91 |
| 0.46 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.18 |
| 107 | Total Double Faults | 158 |
| 1:42:2 | Average Match Time | 1:22:45 |
| 236.14 | Average Opponent Rank | 432.88 |
| 64% (974/1520) | 1st Serve % | 63% (3220/5073) |
| 65% (637/974) | 1st Serve Win % | 62% (1985/3220) |
| 42% (231/546) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (881/1853) |
| 47% (84/179) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 47% (238/508) |
| 45% (699/1560) | Return Points Win % | 42% (2034/4824) |
| 65% (13/20) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 52% (42/81) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 60% (6/10) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 75% (9/12) |
| 67% (4/6) | Deciding Set Win % | 55% (17/31) |
| 92% (12/11) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 79% (39/31) |
| 8% (12/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 21% (39/8) |
| 33% (9/3) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 26% (42/11) |
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