Cori Gauff vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve: Recently, Alexandrova has a slight edge over Gauff, winning 41.55% of points as compared to Gauff's 39.23%. Does this make Alexandrova the favorite on second serve? Possibly.
• Return Game: Gauff outperforms Alexandrova on return stats, securing 53.38% on opponent's second serves against Alexandrova's 51.36% and slightly trails with 30.01% on first serve returns to Alexandrova's 31.22%. Could this suggest Gauff might dominate the return game? Likely.
• Pressure Situations: Alexandrova has a higher breakpoint save rate at 51.71% compared to Gauff's 46.58%. Does this imply greater resilience under pressure for Alexandrova? It's possible.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Gauff has won 75.71% of her matches, outshining Alexandrova's 61.11%. Does this make Gauff a stronger all-round performer? Yes.
• Surface Preferences: Gauff has the advantage on clay with a 72% win rate, but on hard courts, which is their least favorite, she still leads Alexandrova with 70% compared to 55%.
• Match Experience: In the last year, Gauff has played and won more at the Masters level (73.68%) compared to Alexandrova's performance on the Main tour (65.52%). Could this indicate who might handle higher competition better? Possibly Gauff.
• Direct H2H Matches: Gauff leads with 3 victories in 4 encounters with Alexandrova. Is she the more dominant player in their head-to-head meetings? Yes.
• Pressure Situations H2H: In decisive moments, Gauff has won all tiebreaks and their single deciding set matchups against Alexandrova. Does this suggest Gauff has the edge under extreme pressure? Yes.
• Opponent Quality: Gauff has faced tougher competition, playing against opponents with an average rank of 45.19 compared to Alexandrova's 54.22. Does facing stronger opponents improve a player's resilience in matches? Likely.
• Deciding Sets: Gauff has a superior deciding set win rate at 73%, indicating she maintains consistency throughout matches better than Alexandrova's 53% rate.
• Break Point Conversion: Gauff converts 45.45% of breakpoints, which significantly surpasses Alexandrova's 33.99%. Could this give her an edge in critical game moments? Yes, indeed.

Editorial Prediction (May 31, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Alexandrova and Gauff presents an intriguing contrast in strengths. Alexandrova shows promise with a slightly superior second serve performance and her ability to save breakpoints under pressure.

However, Gauff holds distinct advantages in return games, having a history of prevailing in their head-to-head matches. Her higher win rate over the past year and success in both the Masters and decisive sets further strengthen her position.

While Alexandrova's resilience is commendable, the statistics favor Gauff, especially on surfaces where she excels, and against higher-quality opponents.

Considering these factors, Cori Gauff is likely to win this upcoming match against Alexandrova.