Corentin Moutet vs Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Moutet has a slight edge in second serve points won, with 49.91% compared to Fearnley's 45.64%.
• Moutet also holds a narrow advantage in return game performance, capturing 46.52% of second serve points versus Fearnley's 45.75%.
• Regarding first serve returns, Moutet significantly outperforms, taking 29.28% of points compared to Fearnley's 23.59%.
• Under pressure, Moutet has a slight edge, saving 56.45% of breakpoints, whereas Fearnley saves 55.63%.
• Over the past year, Fearnley has been more successful overall, winning 69.74% of matches compared to Moutet's 51.92%.
• Fearnley excels on indoor hard courts with an 82% win rate, while Moutet's best surface is clay where he has a 64% success rate.
• Fearnley has a higher win rate in challenger/ITF tournaments ($10K+), whereas Moutet faces tougher competition on the main tour.
• In direct matchups, Fearnley leads, having defeated Moutet in their only encounter at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open.
• If today's match goes the distance, Fearnley holds an advantage in deciding sets, with an 80% win rate over the last year.
• Fearnley's past opponents have had a lower average rank (181.29) compared to Moutet's (82.58), highlighting Moutet's tougher competition faced.

Editorial Prediction (June 18, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the upcoming match between Jacob Fearnley and Corentin Moutet, key statistics provide a compelling narrative. Moutet exhibits a slight superiority in recent second serve and return performances. His ability to handle high-pressure situations by saving breakpoints marginally better than Fearnley could prove central to this match.

In broader performance trends, Fearnley shows remarkable success, with nearly 70% of matches won over the past year. His dominance on indoor hard courts, alongside his winning record in the only previous face-off against Moutet, further strengthens his candidacy as a formidable opponent.

While Moutet has been facing higher-ranked players, often associated with main tour events, this experience might be challenged by Fearnley's effective strategies in critical match-deciding scenarios, where he boasts an 80% deciding set win rate.

Based on these analyses, Jacob Fearnley is likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash, leveraging his past success and comparable strengths in crucial moments.