Corentin Moutet vs Holger Rune Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In second serve points over the past six months, Moutet holds a slight edge, winning 48.75% compared to Rune's 47.85%. Could this marginal difference tip the balance in Moutet's favor?
• When returning second serves, Moutet outperforms Rune by securing 46.45% of points, compared to Rune's 43.7%.
• First serve returns show Moutet capturing 31.1% of points, exceeding Rune's 26.28%.
• Under pressure, Moutet exhibits a slight advantage by saving 54.07% of breakpoints, whereas Rune saves 52.41%.
• Rune's annual performance surpasses Moutet's with a win rate of 65.15% compared to 50%.
• Moutet thrives on clay with a 64% win rate, while Rune excels on indoor hard courts with a 71% success rate.
• Rune competes at a higher level, with a 66.67% victory rate in Masters series, suggesting exposure to tougher competition.
• In direct encounters, Moutet leads with 2 wins to Rune's 1, dominating in set victories with 4-2.
• The players' previous matches averaged a duration of 1:47:11.
• Despite meeting in tiebreaks once, Moutet won, giving a slight psychological edge.
• Over the last year, Moutet faced opponents with an average rank of 84.52, while Rune's were ranked at 62.68, hinting at tougher competition for Rune.
• In all matches, Rune's deciding set success rate is 73%, greater than Moutet's 47%.
• Converting breakpoints shows Moutet with a 31.84% success rate, slightly trumping Rune's 29.69%.

Editorial Prediction (May 11, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents several intriguing dynamics. Moutet's slight statistical edge on serve and return points, particularly in situations requiring breakpoint conversion, could prove instrumental. However, Rune's experience in higher-level competitions and stronger recent performance metrics balance the field.

While Moutet has historically performed better in direct encounters between the two, Rune's superior performance in deciding sets and tough matches presents a significant challenge. Additionally, Rune's ability to save breakpoints effectively in high-pressure situations cannot be overlooked.

Considering all factors, including their current forms and skill on various surfaces, Rune's overall consistent performance at higher-level tournaments offers him a subtle lead in this contest. Thus, Rune is slightly favored to win this encounter, barring any unforeseen circumstances.