Corentin Denolly vs Max Alcala Gurri Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does their second serve performance compare? Currently, Denolly has a modest edge, securing 42.12% of points compared to Gurri's 39.96% in recent form, suggesting a slight advantage for Denolly.
• In terms of return statistics, Gurri has a stronger recent form, winning 51.06% of opponent's second serve points and 35.04% on first serve returns versus Denolly's 50.06% and 30.44%, respectively. This indicates Gurri has a tactical edge in returning serves.
• Under pressure, Denolly slightly outperforms Gurri by saving 51.68% of breakpoints, compared to Gurri's 48.81%, which may provide Denolly with a resilience advantage during high-pressure moments.
• Overall match performance shows Gurri leading with a win rate of 64.2% over the last year, surpassing Denolly’s 56.45%, implying Gurri's consistency in matches is higher.
• Both players excel on clay, but Denolly narrowly tops Gurri with a 65% career win rate, compared to Gurri’s 61%, hinting at Denolly's slight edge on this surface.
• Analyzing competition level, Gurri remains strong in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events with a 70.21% win rate, while Denolly struggles in higher-level Challengers/ITF events, showing only a 37.5% win rate, indicating Gurri may adapt better under different competition levels.
• Looking at head-to-head records, Gurri leads with 1 match win over Denolly and a superior track record in sets, establishing Gurri as the favorite in their direct encounters.
• Break point conversion stats show Gurri converting 38.31% of opportunities compared to Denolly's 35.15%, suggesting Gurri capitalizes more effectively on key chances.
• Finally, in potential deciding sets, Gurri slightly edges out with a 65% win rate against Denolly's 60% in recent matches, indicating a better ability to close out close matches.
• Denolly has faced tougher opponents ranked on average at 321.48 compared to Gurri's opponents at 428.33, possibly providing Denolly with experience against higher-caliber players.

Editorial Prediction (September 18, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing both players' recent form and historical performances, Gurri exhibits a marginal lead in important aspects of the game. This includes superior return percentages for first serves and a marginal edge in head-to-head matchups. Additionally, Gurri has demonstrated resilience by winning a higher percentage of deciding sets.

Denolly's performance does showcase strengths in break point saving and a better record on clay, but Gurri's overall consistency and slight edge in several critical stats, including breakpoint conversions and return games, provide significant advantages.

Based on these outlined factors, Max Alcala Gurri is anticipated to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter, leveraging his well-rounded game and previous successes against Denolly.