The last match between Clara Tauson and Madison Keys was at the Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal, 05-08-2025, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Clara Tauson getting the victory 6-1 6-4.
Second Serve Performance: In the last six months, Keys has won 41.49% of points on her second serve, while Tauson has won 44.26%. Which player has the advantage here? Tauson does, slightly.
Return Game Stats: Keys demonstrates strength in returning, claiming 50.8% of opponents' second serve points. Tauson's figure is slightly lower at 49.41%.
First Serve Return: Keys edges out Tauson with a 30.29% success rate, compared to Tauson's 28.34%.
Under Pressure: Saving 55.34% of breakpoints, Keys outperforms Tauson, who saves 48.91%.
Overall Performance: Over the past year, Keys boasts a higher match win rate (73.58%) compared to Tauson's 62.32%.
Surface Preference: Although Tauson excels on indoor hard courts, winning 76%, she struggles on grass with a 44% win rate. Conversely, Keys prefers grass, winning 71% of her matches there.
Player Level: Keys has played more on the Masters series, winning 66.67%, while Tauson has focused on Main tours, winning 60.71%.
Head-to-Head: Tauson has won their only previous encounter, a straight-sets win over Keys.
Extreme Pressure Situations: Tauson also won the lone tiebreak played between them.
Opponent Quality: Keys has faced stronger competition on average, with opponents ranked 43.45 compared to Tauson's 84.68.
Deciding Set Performance: In deciding sets, Keys has a high win rate of 78%, outperforming Tauson's 54% win rate in such matches.
Break Point Conversion: Recently, Keys has been more efficient, converting 35.71% of her break points compared to Tauson's 29.36%.
Editorial Prediction (August 5, 2025, UTC):
In their upcoming match, both Keys and Tauson bring distinct strengths and weaknesses to the court. Tauson holds a minor edge in second serve performance, which could give her an advantage in longer rallies.
Keys, however, shows a greater aptitude for handling break points and has a consistently better return game. Her experience in playing higher-ranked opponents might provide invaluable resilience under pressure.
While Tauson has won their only previous encounter, Keys' overall performance this past year suggests she is the more seasoned player, particularly when matches are closely contested or go the distance.
Considering the varied statistics and historical performances, Keys appears to be slightly favored to win this match, especially if it unfolds in high-pressure situations.
Clara Tauson vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.