Prediction of Christopher Li vs Felix Corwin at M15 Santiago 11-28-25

• Second Serve Performance: Christopher Li has a slight edge by winning 44.58% of points on their second serve compared to Felix Corwin’s 40.59%.
• Return Game Strength: Li outperforms Corwin by winning 52.40% of opponent's second serve points, while Corwin wins 48.62%.
• First Serve Returns: Both players have similar performance with Li at 32.25% and Corwin at 31.95%.
• Breakpoint Defense: Li saves 53.64% of breakpoints, providing a potential advantage over Corwin, who saves 46.29%.
• Match Win Record: Felix Corwin has a marginally higher win percentage (53.70%) compared to Christopher Li's 52.94% over the last year.
• Surface Preference: Li performs best on I.hard surfaces with a 75% win rate, while Corwin excels on clay with the same win percentage.
• Competition Level: Li and Corwin both frequently compete in $10K ITF tournaments, with Corwin having a slightly better win rate at 65.79% versus Li's 60.00%.
• Direct Encounters: Li has a 1-0 lead in head-to-head matchups with Corwin, winning their last meeting on clay.
• Rank of Opponents: Corwin’s opponents have had a marginally higher average ranking of 398.26 compared to Li’s 403.53.
• Deciding Sets: In matches going to a deciding set, Christopher Li wins 40% of the time, compared to Corwin’s 38%.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Both players are closely matched, with Corwin slightly ahead, converting 35.26% of break opportunities versus Li’s 34.31%.

Editorial Prediction (November 28, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Christopher Li and Felix Corwin promises to be a closely contested battle. Li’s marginally better performance on second serves and in return games gives him an edge over Corwin.

Despite Corwin's slightly higher overall win percentage over the past year, Li’s track record in head-to-head matchups, particularly their previous win on a clay surface, could prove pivotal.

Although both players show similar strengths in several areas, Li's ability to save breakpoints and his past success against Corwin might make him the favorite. Based on the analysis, Christopher Li is the predicted winner of this match.