Chloe Noel vs Anastasia Mozgaleva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance shows Noel has a superior percentage of 38.14% points won compared to Mozgaleva's 24.17%, a statistic highly indicative of match outcomes. Why might Noel have an advantage here? Because a strong second serve leads to more successful points.
• In terms of return game stats, Noel has a slight edge by winning 48.99% of second serve return points compared to Mozgaleva’s 48.06%. Furthermore, for first serve returns, Noel excels with 36.5% against Mozgaleva's 33.16%, offering an additional advantage in this department.
• Despite slightly weaker breakpoint saving capabilities, with Mozgaleva saving 43.24% of breakpoints and Noel 36.72%, Noel's overall higher percentage in matches won (60.61%) suggests better match performance under pressure.
• Mozgaleva excels on clay with a career win percentage of 38%, but Noel's best performance is on hard surfaces, boasting a 57% win rate. Could this surface preference impact their performance? Yes, particularly if the match is held on a hard court where Noel excels.
• Noel appears to be competing at a higher level, winning 71.43% of matches in the Futures/ITF $10K tournaments over the past year, while Mozgaleva trails with 39.22% in the same competitions.
• Mozgaleva has faced tougher opponents, with competitors averaging a rank of 190.57, compared to Noel’s 316.55. This experience against higher-ranked players might be a hidden edge for Mozgaleva.
• When matches have gone into a deciding set, Mozgaleva shines with a 62% win rate over the last 12 months, compared to Noel's 40%. Could this indicate an edge for Mozgaleva if the match is closely contested? It seems likely.
• Both players demonstrate similar breakpoint conversion rates — Mozgaleva at 41.94% and Noel slightly higher at 42.27% — important for pinpointing crucial match moments.

Editorial Prediction (July 1, 2025, UTC):

Mozgaleva and Noel each bring distinct strengths to the match, but the scales lean towards Noel given second serve consistency and recent overall performance. Her return stats further solidify this edge, a crucial factor when considering head-to-head match-ups.

Mozgaleva does have a statistical advantage in deciding sets, indicating resilience in extended matches. This strength, however, may not compensate for Noel's higher win percentages and robust second serve efficiency.

Given these elements, if the match unfolds on a hard court, the advantage would tip further in Noel's favor due to her proven surface success.

Based on recent performance trends and comparative statistics, Noel is the likely favorite to secure victory in the upcoming match.