They have played 6 sets in total, with Casper Ruud winning 6 and Alejandro Tabilo winning 0. The last match between Casper Ruud and Alejandro Tabilo was at the Miami Open - Miami, 23-03-2025, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Casper Ruud getting the victory 6-4 7-6(4).
What can the recent second serve performances tell us about this intriguing face-off between Tabilo and Ruud? Over the past six months, Tabilo has managed to secure 47.59% of points on his second serve, slightly edging out Ruud, who clinched 46.9%. Given the strong correlation between second serve effectiveness and match predictions, could this be a significant advantage for Tabilo?
In the realm of return game statistics, Tabilo seems to have an upper hand, having won 46.06% of his opponents' second serve points compared to Ruud’s 44.54%. Even when targeting the first serve, Tabilo continues to lead with a success rate of 25.38%, while Ruud follows with 24.46%. With these figures in mind, is Tabilo poised to assert dominance in return games?
Now let’s delve into how players handle pressure situations. Tabilo has shown resilience, saving 63.23% of break points, as opposed to Ruud’s 55.04%. Does this knack for saving break points provide Tabilo an edge when the stakes are high?
Examining performance over the last year, Ruud has outshone Tabilo, securing a 65.22% win rate, whereas Tabilo stands at 48.15%. This head-to-head overview seems to favor Ruud. However, could playing surfaces sway this prediction? Both players excel on clay, with Tabilo winning 61% and Ruud showing a superior 70% win rate on this surface. Does Ruud's prowess on clay make him the favorite here?
When assessing player levels, Ruud has proven more formidable on the Main tour, winning 73.08% of his matches, while Tabilo has recorded only a 45% win rate. As they have faced off twice before, with Ruud reigning victorious on both occasions—most recently at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters—might history repeat itself?
What about high-pressure scenarios? Neither player has won a tiebreak against the other nor have they faced a deciding set. But if this match reaches a deciding set, Ruud's impressive 71% win rate in such situations could tip the scales in his favor, compared to Tabilo’s 40% over the past year.
Finally, let’s not overlook break point conversion rates. Tabilo has demonstrated a slightly better conversion rate at 33.33%, whereas Ruud achieved 27.84% during recent play. Could these live match dynamics be the difference-maker in tight moments?
Considering the totality of these statistics, Ruud's overall performance, particularly on clay and under pressure, paints him as the likely victor. Will these numbers manifest into yet another victory for Ruud, or can Tabilo turn these versatile stats to his advantage and upend the prediction?
Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Tabilo Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
C. Ruud vs A. Tabilo H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions