Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Casper Ruud recently outperformed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in second serve points, winning 46.95% compared to 45.31%. Could this small edge influence the match outcome? Possibly, as there is a high correlation with match prediction accuracy.
• Both players showed similar success in taking points off their opponents' second serves: Ruud at 45.01% and Davidovich Fokina at 44.97%. However, Davidovich Fokina outshines Ruud in first serve returns, claiming 26.21% versus Ruud’s 22.64%.
• Under pressure, Fokina has been slightly better at saving breakpoints with a success rate of 53.62% as compared to Ruud's 49.55%.
• Casper Ruud holds a slim lead in overall matches won over the past year, achieving a 69.49% win rate, whereas Davidovich Fokina has won 63.64% of his matches.
• When accounting for playing surfaces, Ruud’s strength lies on clay, winning 70% of his matches, while Davidovich Fokina excels on hard surfaces with a comparable win percentage.
• Both have competed primarily on the main tour in the past year, but Ruud has a higher win rate at 79.17% compared to Davidovich Fokina's 66.67%.
• Head-to-head, Ruud has won 3 out of their 5 matches, although the sets are more evenly split, with Ruud leading by a narrow margin of 11 to Fokina's 9.
• Delving into deciding sets, each player has evenly split their past four deciding encounters; interestingly, Davidovich Fokina leads in tiebreak victories between them, having won 6 out of 8.
• The opponents faced by Davidovich Fokina in the last year were marginally higher ranked than Ruud's, with average ranks of 60.71 and 66.39, respectively.
• In last year's results from deciding sets against all foes, Ruud holds a slight edge over Fokina, winning 59% compared to Fokina’s near identical 60% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 24, 2025, UTC):

Both players have demonstrated impressive performances across different metrics, each holding minor advantages in specific areas. Ruud’s marginal superior consistency in matches, success on clay, and overall tour performance suggest a slight upper hand in this encounter.

Despite Davidovich Fokina’s stronger tiebreak record and solid performance returning first serves, the advantage of their tendencies is nuanced and might be offset by Ruud’s broader recent form and head-to-head performance.

Overall, Casper Ruud emerges as the more likely winner in their forthcoming contest, potentially using his experience and clay court comfort to best Davidovich Fokina.