Carolina Meligeni Alves vs Victoria Rodriguez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In the realm of tennis statistics and predictions, the recent performance metrics of Alves and Rodriguez offer intriguing insights. Over the past six months, Alves has demonstrated proficiency on their second serve, winning 37.83% of the points, marginally outperforming Rodriguez, who has secured 35.18% of these points. This statistic often correlates highly with match prediction accuracy.

When analyzing return game stats in recent form, Alves has an edge in winning 53.05% of opponents' second serve points compared to Rodriguez's 50.74%. However, Rodriguez leads slightly in first serve returns with a success rate of 37.66% against Alves’ 36.48%. This aspect plays a critical role in determining the favor in a head-to-head matchup.

Under pressure, Rodriguez has displayed slightly better breakpoint-saving ability at 44.09%, nudging ahead of Alves, who has managed to save 43.33% of breakpoints. Additionally, examining their performance over the last year, Alves has secured 59.21% of matches played, a higher win percentage than Rodriguez’s 49.18%. This broader performance perspective contributes significantly to head-to-head prediction overviews.

Surface preferences also add another layer of complexity to predictions. Alves thrives on clay, boasting a 60% career win rate, while Rodriguez excels on hard courts with a 61% success rate. In contrast, Alves has struggled on grass, with a win percentage of 0%, and Rodriguez has a poorer record on indoor hard courts, winning 29% of matches.

An understanding of the event level played by these athletes also enhances prediction accuracy. Alves has experienced success in Challenger and ITF tournaments, securing 60.27% of victories, while Rodriguez has a balanced 50% win rate in similar competitions. This context is indispensable when assessing relative playing strength.

From a direct head-to-head perspective, Rodriguez has historically had the upper hand, winning their sole encounter, which extended to three sets, at the W 35 Gdansk in June 2024. The average match time between the two has been approximately 2 hours and 18 minutes, highlighting competitive engagements. Should their upcoming match reach a deciding set, past data suggests Alves has a higher likelihood of prevailing, having won 55% of such sets in the past year compared to Rodriguez’s 32%.

Finally, Rodriguez shows a stronger breakpoint conversion rate, capitalizing on 47.17% of opportunities versus Alves' 38.82%. Given these statistics, Rodriguez appears to have a slight advantage, suggesting she may emerge victorious in this tightly contested match.