Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent six-month form, Khachanov slightly outperforms Alcaraz in second serve points won, leading with 43.97% over Alcaraz's 43.23%. What could this imply for their upcoming match?
• Analyzing return games, Khachanov also leads by winning 45.35% of points on opponents' second serves compared to Alcaraz's 42.5%. However, Alcaraz is stronger on first serve returns, with 27.08% compared to Khachanov's 24.04%.
• Under pressure, Khachanov saves more breakpoints, reaching 56.19%, whereas Alcaraz saves 54.52% of breakpoints faced. Does this suggest an advantage in high-pressure moments for Khachanov?
• Alcaraz boasts a superior match win percentage over the past year at 82.67%, significantly higher than Khachanov's 54.72%.
• Khachanov performs best on indoor hard courts but slightly underperforms Alcaraz on grass. Alcaraz has his worst record on indoor hard, yet it's still a commendable 70% win rate.
• In the last year, Khachanov has focused on Main tour events with a 56% win rate, whereas Alcaraz has excelled in Grand Slam tournaments, winning 90.48% of matches.
• Historically, Alcaraz dominates their head-to-head record, having won all four encounters and all nine sets played against Khachanov.
• Khachanov's opponents have an average rank of 150.21 over the last year, in contrast to Alcaraz's stronger competition with an average opponent rank of 53.05.
• If a match reaches a deciding set, Alcaraz has a commanding advantage, winning 71% of such sets versus Khachanov's 40%.
• Khachanov leads slightly in recent break point conversions at 32.48% compared to Alcaraz's 30.25%, indicating efficiency when crucial opportunities arise.

Editorial Prediction (May 12, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the upcoming match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz, several key factors come to light. Recent performance highlights Khachanov's marginal edge in second serve points won and breakpoint saving ability. Nonetheless, Alcaraz's superior first serve return stats and historic dominance in their head-to-head matchups cannot be ignored.

Khachanov's strengths in return games and pressure handling offer potential advantages. However, these are counterbalanced by Alcaraz's commanding win rate over the past year, especially in Grand Slam settings, reflecting his higher level of experience and consistency against tougher opponents.

Ultimately, Alcaraz's impeccable record against Khachanov, coupled with his successful history against higher-ranked players and impressive overall tour performance, suggests he is the likely victor in the upcoming match.