Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel Altmaier Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the recent form of Carlos Alcaraz and Daniel Altmaier reveals intriguing insights into their upcoming tennis encounter. In terms of second serve efficacy over the past six months, Altmaier appears slightly superior, winning 45.53% of the points compared to Alcaraz's 43.12%. This metric is crucial for accurate match predictions, underscoring the potential influence it could have on this matchup.

When it comes to return games, Altmaier also shows a marginally better performance, having won 47.3% of his opponent's second serve points versus Alcaraz’s 41.87%. However, Alcaraz excels in first serve returns, capturing 25.73% in contrast to Altmaier’s 22.4%. This particular statistic often correlates strongly with determining the favored player in head-to-head matchups.

On the aspect of handling pressure, Altmaier again leads by saving 58.36% of breakpoints, slightly overshadowing Alcaraz’s 52.25%. Meanwhile, in the broad context of performance over the past year, Alcaraz has secured an impressive 81.16% win rate across all his matches (56 W - 13 L), while Altmaier’s record stands at 50.67% (38 W - 37 L).

Examining their preferred surfaces reveals Alcaraz's dominance on grass with an 89% career win rate (24 W - 3 L), though his performance on indoor hard courts declines to 70% (30 W - 13 L). In contrast, Altmaier excels on clay with a 61% win rate (199 W – 127 L), yet struggles more on grass courts, winning only 36% (8 W - 14 L).

The level of player competition further distinguishes the two athletes. Alcaraz has predominantly competed in Grand Slam events over the last year, clinching 90.48% of these matches (19 W - 2 L). On the other hand, Altmaier mainly participated in the Main tour, winning 42.86% of his matches (12 W - 16 L). This difference in competitive exposure is significant when evaluating their relative strengths in this match.

A direct examination of their head-to-head history reveals that Alcaraz emerged victorious in their sole previous encounter. In the Cordenons Challenger semifinals held on September 5, 2020, on clay, Alcaraz triumphed 6-1, 7-6(6) over Altmaier. Their head-to-head matches average a duration of 1:25:36, providing a potential benchmark for match length. Notably, the two have never played a deciding set, and in tiebreak situations, Alcaraz had a narrow edge, having won the only tiebreak they contested.

Assessing their tournament play over the last year, Alcaraz has competed against more highly ranked opponents, with an average rank of 55.1 compared to Altmaier’s 137.37. This could indicate Alcaraz's greater readiness for high-stakes matches.

For deciding set outcomes, Alcaraz holds a stronger record, winning 65% of such sets in the last 12 months, whereas Altmaier has won 57%. Additionally contributing to his favor are break point conversions, with Alcaraz achieving 28.7% efficiency, slightly better than Altmaier’s 27.84%. These metrics may prove decisive in tipping the scales in Alcaraz's favor during critical stages of the match.

Considering the accumulation of these statistics, including Alcaraz's stronger historical record, superior competitiveness against higher-ranked opponents, and key performance metrics, he emerges as the likely favorite to win the upcoming match against Altmaier.