Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In analyzing the upcoming tennis match between Fils and Alcaraz, one must consider various performance metrics that provide insight into potential outcomes. Over the past six months, Fils has demonstrated superior performance on their second serve, winning 44.89% of points compared to Alcaraz’s 42.52%. This statistical indicator is a significant factor in predicting match winner accuracy, highlighting a slight edge for Fils.

When examining return game statistics, Fils also shows a certain strength. In recent form, Fils has won 44.25% of points on their opponent's second serve, marginally outpacing Alcaraz, who has secured 42.79%. However, in first serve returns, Alcaraz exhibits a slight advantage, with a 27% win rate compared to Fils's 23.59%. These numbers play a vital role in determining who is more likely to command the court in head-to-head encounters.

Evaluating prowess under pressure, Fils has saved 57.6% of breakpoints recently, whereas Alcaraz has managed to save 53.38%. This capacity to handle high-stakes situations could prove essential for in-game betting predictions. Furthermore, Fils’s break point conversion rate stands at 32.14%, surpassing Alcaraz’s conversion of 28.92%, suggesting a keener eye for seizing crucial opportunities.

When assessing performance over a more extended period, Alcaraz has the upper hand. Over the last year, Alcaraz has won an impressive 82.67% of his matches (W/L 62/13), compared to Fils’s 65.71% win rate (W/L 46/24). On grass courts, their preferred surface, Alcaraz excels with an 89% win rate (W/L 24/3), overshadowing Fils’s 67% (W/L 10/5). Despite Fils’s experience on the Main tour, Alcaraz’s mastery at the Masters series is highlighted by a 72.73% win rate (W/L 16/6).

In their previous encounters, Alcaraz has a clear edge, winning the single match they have contested, underscoring his dominance with victories in two out of three sets. Their most recent clash at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters saw Alcaraz triumph over Fils. Both athletes have shown competence in deciding set scenarios, winning a respective 65% and 68% of such sets in the past year.

Overall, considering the array of statistics, Carlos Alcaraz appears to be the favorite to win this match, integrating his superior year-round performance, head-to-head history, and decisive gameplay under intense conditions. While Fils demonstrates competitive statistics and certain strengths, Alcaraz's consistency and experience in high-level tournaments suggest he is more likely to secure victory based on this analytical comparison.