Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When evaluating the second serve performance over the recent months, Alex de Minaur has shown a slight edge by securing 43.45% of points on his second serve compared to Carlos Alcaraz's 42.27%. This particular statistic often correlates highly with match prediction accuracy, suggesting a nuanced measure of both players' service resilience.

In terms of return game statistics, recent form showcases Alex de Minaur claiming 41.89% of the points on his opponent's second serve, while Carlos Alcaraz marginally leads with 42.56%. The return stats on first serves tell a different story, as Alcaraz excels with 27.07%, surpassing de Minaur's 24.24%. Such figures significantly influence which player might be favored in their head-to-head encounters.

When under pressure, Alcaraz has demonstrated a stronger capacity for saving breakpoints, defending 53.9% as opposed to de Minaur's 47.04%. This statistic is particularly insightful for those interested in in-game betting predictions. Similarly, when breaking opponents' serves, Minaur has recently converted 33.33% of opportunities, whereas Alcaraz has managed 28.13% conversion, indicative for live betting scenarios.

Analyzing their overall performance, Alex de Minaur has won 68.66% of his matches over the past year, while Carlos Alcaraz boasts a more impressive 82.43% victory rate. Additionally, their head-to-head record is in favor of Alcaraz, who has secured all three encounters, winning six out of eight sets.

In terms of surface preferences, both players exhibit their highest career success rates on grass courts. Alcaraz stands out with an 89% win rate, compared to de Minaur's 69%. However, when transitioning to clay, de Minaur's win percentage drops to 57%, and Alcaraz, interestingly, shows a similar assertiveness on indoor hard courts with a 70% win rate.

Looking at player levels, de Minaur primarily plays on the Main tour and achieves a 72% win rate, while Alcaraz competes mostly in Masters series events, recording a similar success rate of 72.73%. This hints at the relative event levels each has been participating in, adding another layer to the prediction model.

If the match extends into a deciding set, Alcaraz's win rate over the last year stands at 68%, a testament to his mental tenacity, compared to de Minaur's 47%. They've faced off in deciding sets twice before, with Alcaraz emerging victorious each time. In high-pressure moments such as tiebreaks, they split wins evenly, each securing one.

Analyzing opponent quality, Alex de Minaur's average opposition rank over the past year was 114.6, while Carlos Alcaraz confronted players averaging a rank of 123.15. Considering the comprehensive statistical analysis presented, the strength of Carlos Alcaraz in both direct matchups and recent individual performances indicates he is likely to emerge as the winner in their upcoming encounter.