Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Nardi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Carabelli has achieved a second serve point-win rate of 43.78% over the last six months, compared to Nardi's 44.83%. Does this indicate Nardi's slight edge in serving?
• In return games, Carabelli has outperformed with a 48.13% win rate on opponents’ second serves, while Nardi has secured 45.7%. For first serves, Carabelli leads with 28.5% over Nardi's 23.67%.
• Facing breakpoints, Nardi shows a slight advantage with a 55.13% save rate, whereas Carabelli has saved 53.41%.
• Over the past year, Carabelli has a superior win ratio of 63.86% from 53 wins out of 83 matches, compared to Nardi's 51.52% with 34 wins of 66 matches.
• Carabelli excels on clay courts with a 65% win rate, whereas Nardi performs best on hard surfaces, winning 59% of matches.
• Last year's match level indicates Carabelli's 76% win rate in Challengers/ITF events, offering an edge over Nardi's 67.74% in similar events.
• Carabelli has faced slightly less ranked opponents, with an average ranking of 190.82, against Nardi's 183.92.
• In deciding sets, Carabelli proves more resilient, securing victory in 69% of such scenarios, while Nardi has managed 50%.
• Carabelli is more effective in converting breakpoints recently, at 36.55% compared to Nardi's lower 28.02% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (May 15, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents an interesting dynamic with both players displaying strengths in recent performances. Carabelli's evident superiority in return games is a pivotal factor that could tilt the match in his favor if he can capitalize on Nardi's serves.

Nardi's marginal advantage in handling breakpoints suggests a capacity to withstand pressure, though Carabelli's decisive success in three-set matches indicates his resilience in tight situations.

Carabelli's clay court dominance might play a critical role as surface compatibility often impacts outcomes. Coupled with his higher match win ratio over the past year, Carabelli seems positioned to have the upper hand.

Considering all performance metrics and the current context, Carabelli appears poised to be the likely victor in this matchup.