Brandon Nakashima vs Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent second serve performance, Nakashima slightly edges out Fearnley, winning 46.94% of points compared to Fearnley’s 45.59%.
• Fearnley performs better in return games, capturing 45.19% of their opponent's second serve points versus Nakashima's 42.89%.
• First serve return success rates are close, with Fearnley at 23.97% and Nakashima at 23.4%. Is this marginal difference significant? While it's slight, it could impact Nakashima's performance in this H2H matchup.
• Under pressure, Fearnley has a higher breakpoint save rate (56.38%) compared to Nakashima's 54.09%, indicating resilience during critical points.
• Yearly performance shows Fearnley with a higher match win percentage (72.5%) than Nakashima (54.93%). What could this suggest? It points to Fearnley's consistent form and probability to succeed against Nakashima.
• Both players have their best surface on I.hard; however, Fearnley excels more (82%) compared to Nakashima’s 70%, which may influence the match outcome on similar surfaces.
• Fearnley has dominated on the Challenger/ITF circuit, with an impressive 85.71% win rate, while Nakashima has 50% on the Main tour, suggesting Fearnley thrives in lower-tier events compared to Nakashima.
• Average rank of opponents faced shows Nakashima has competed against tougher players, averaging rank 82.72 compared to Fearnley’s 177.68. Could this experience advantage Nakashima? Potentially, as it implies exposure to higher-level competition.
• In deciding sets, Fearnley has a compelling advantage, winning 86%, while Nakashima sits at 47%, indicating Fearnley’s mental toughness in crucial moments.
• Nakashima outperforms Fearnley in converting breakpoints, with a rate of 39.09% compared to 29.75%, a vital stat in tight matches.

Editorial Prediction (June 9, 2025, UTC):

As Fearnley and Nakashima prepare for their upcoming match, the statistics provide intriguing insights into their comparative strengths and weaknesses.

Fearnley's robust return game and resilience in deciding sets establish a strong foundation for navigating tight moments, underscoring his mental fortitude. Additionally, his superior performance in lower-tier tournaments reflects an ability to capitalize on numerous opportunities.

Conversely, Nakashima's higher-ranked opposition experience and superior break point conversion may prove beneficial. These factors indicate his capability to handle pressure and capitalize on critical game moments.

Despite Nakashima's edge in certain areas, Fearnley's overall performance patterns, particularly on his preferred surface and recent consistency, make him the more likely victor in the upcoming encounter.