Prediction of Barbara Straszewska vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen at W15 Monastir 10-09-25

• In the past six months, Barbara Straszewska has a stronger second serve, winning 41.38% of points compared to Rebecca Munk Mortensen's 36.99%.
• Does the ability to return serves give an advantage? Despite a weaker second serve, Mortensen outperforms in returning her opponent's second serve with a 52.15% success rate, while Straszewska has 49.78%.
• For first serve returns, Straszewska excels, achieving 37.37% compared to Mortensen's 33.84%.
• Under pressure, Mortensen showcases resilience by saving 45.61% of breakpoints, exceeding Straszewska's 40.43%.
• Over the last year, Mortensen has a higher win ratio at 58.06%, whereas Straszewska's is 53.57%.
• On hard surfaces, both players have a perfect win rate of 100%, but Mortensen's experience is evident with a total of 40 wins versus Straszewska's single match victory.
• Straszewska mainly competes in ITF $10K events, boasting a 52.17% win rate, while Mortensen frequently plays in higher-level Challenger/ITF events, holding a 59.38% victory rate.
• Straszewska has contested against stronger opponents with an average rank of 254.11, whereas Mortensen's average opponent rank is 363.94.
• In deciding sets over the past year, Straszewska has a better success rate, winning 60% compared to Mortensen's 43%.
• It is crucial to monitor how each player performs as the current event unfolds, as past statistics can significantly influence predictions.

Editorial Prediction (October 9, 2025, UTC):

Evaluating their recent performances, Barbara Straszewska exhibits a superior second serve percentage and excels in first serve returns, positioning her well against Rebecca Munk Mortensen in these areas.

However, Mortensen competes in higher-caliber tournaments and plays with resilience under pressure by saving more breakpoints, suggesting her ability to handle intense match situations effectively.

Straszewska's ability to perform in deciding sets gives her a slight edge if the match extends to a third set. However, Mortensen's stronger return game and overall win percentage, particularly against lower-ranked competition, may play a pivotal role in swinging the match in her favor.

Considering the balance of strengths, weaknesses, and tournament levels, Rebecca Munk Mortensen is slightly favored to win this upcoming tennis match.