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Aslan Karatsev vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Karatsev vs Shapovalov analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Aslan Karatsev vs Denis Shapovalov Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Karatsev has won 42.37% of points on his second serve, while Shapovalov has won 47.23%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Karatsev, in recent form, has won 48.65% of his opponent's second serve points, while Shapovalov has won 46.76%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.74% and 29.25% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Karatsev has saved 58.82% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Shapovalov has saved 65.06% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Karatsev has won 61.54% of matches played (W/L 24/ 15), with Shapovalov winning 44.44% (W/L 12/ 15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Karatsev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 64% (W/L 156/ 88), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13). Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 72/ 43), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 21/ 21).
  • Player level: In the last year, Karatsev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 55.56% of matches (W/L 10/ 8), where as Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 30.77% of matches (W/L 4/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Karatsev winning 1 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Karatsev winning 2 and Shapovalov winning 0. The last match between Karatsev and Shapovalov was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 11-10-2021, Third, Hard with Aslan Karatsev getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:36:42.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Karatsev and Shapovalov have played a deciding set 0 times, with Karatsev winning 0 times and Shapovalov 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Karatsev winning 0, and Shapovalov 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Karatsev has played against opponents with an average rank of 165.33 while Shapovalov has played against players with an average rank of 119.44.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Karatsev has won 56% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Shapovalov has won 25% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Karatsev has converted 27.27% of breakpoint opportunities, and Shapovalov has converted 32.73% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Karatsev 1 - 0 Shapovalov

Aslan Karatsev

16

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

10

Minor

48

Rank

14

High

30

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

132

Rank

10

High

25

Age

L

Plays

Denis Shapovalov

7

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

4

Minor

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L L W W W W L L L

Form

W L L W L W W L L L

59% (404-281)

Career Total W/L

59% (283-193)

0% (0-1)

YTD W/L

38% (6-10)

$3,756,780

Career Prize Money

$7,812,745

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Karatsev VS Shapovalov H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Aslan Karatsev Denis Shapovalov
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 13 7
Aces (Total) 0 12
DFs (Total) 3 4
Avg Match Time 1:36:42 1:36:42
1st Serve % 44% (27/61) 60% (35/58)
1st Serve Win% 78% (21/27) 74% (26/35)
2nd Serve Win% 71% (24/34) 39% (9/23)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (3/9) 0% (0/1)
Return Points W% 40% (23/58) 26% (16/61)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Karatsev VS Shapovalov H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-5 6-2
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Denis Shapovalov
44% ( 27 of 61)
1st Serve %
60% ( 35 of 58)
0
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
4
78% ( 21 of 27)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
71% ( 24 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 16 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 23 of 58)
68
Total Points Won
51

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Aslan Karatsev Denis Shapovalov
YTD W/L 0% (0/1) 38% (6/10)
Sets Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 42% (16/22)
Games Win/Loss 48% (11/12) 51% (191/186)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 38% (3/5)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (3/3)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.18 0.86
Aces Total 2 161
DFs per game 0.55 0.5
DFs Total 6 94
Avg Match Time 2:23:1 1:44:5
Avg Opp Rank 204 112
1st Serve % 56% (39/70) 58% (668/1155)
1st Serve W% 74% (29/39) 78% (521/668)
2nd Serve W% 45% (14/31) 47% (230/487)
BPs Won% Total 33% (3/9) 33% (36/110)
Return Pts W% 42% (32/76) 36% (451/1255)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 60% (3/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/1) 30% (3/7)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 40% (6/15)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/6)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/1) 20% (1/5)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 75% (8/6)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 25% (8/2)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (8/0)

Aslan Karatsev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Jason Murray Kubler
Player
Aslan Karatsev
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve %
56% ( 39 of 70)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 29 of 39)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 27 of 70)
71
Total Points Won
75
L
6-4 6-7(4) ret. H2H
R1
cross
Borna Gojo
Player
Aslan Karatsev
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
4
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
23% ( 11 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 25 of 55)
62
Total Points Won
41
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Ben Shelton
Player
Aslan Karatsev
80% ( 40 of 50)
1st Serve %
57% ( 36 of 63)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
80% ( 32 of 40)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 22 of 36)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
22% ( 11 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 28 of 63)
67
Total Points Won
46
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Shintaro Mochizuki
58% ( 34 of 59)
1st Serve %
56% ( 30 of 54)
6
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 21 of 30)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 15 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 20 of 54)
64
Total Points Won
49
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Alex De Minaur
62% ( 43 of 69)
1st Serve %
63% ( 30 of 48)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
35% ( 24 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
64
Total Points Won
53
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Zhizhen Zhang
49% ( 24 of 49)
1st Serve %
62% ( 38 of 61)
4
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
2
96% ( 23 of 24)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
68% ( 17 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 9 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 25 of 61)
65
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Frances Tiafoe
63% ( 52 of 82)
1st Serve %
50% ( 30 of 60)
10
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
87% ( 26 of 30)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
35% ( 29 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 21 of 60)
74
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Quentin Halys
Player
Aslan Karatsev
52% ( 45 of 86)
1st Serve %
60% ( 57 of 95)
5
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
5
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 46 of 57)
56% ( 23 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 28 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 33 of 95)
91
Total Points Won
90
L
7-6(4) 3-6 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Yoshihito Nishioka
Player
Aslan Karatsev
69% ( 48 of 70)
1st Serve %
56% ( 33 of 59)
3
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
5
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 24 of 33)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
70
Total Points Won
59
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Aslan Karatsev
Player
Cameron Norrie
63% ( 52 of 83)
1st Serve %
70% ( 54 of 77)
9
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
0
77% ( 40 of 52)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 41 of 54)
65% ( 20 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
28% ( 23 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 22 of 77)
82
Total Points Won
78
W
7-6(5) 7-6(5) H2H

Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Denis Shapovalov
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve %
49% ( 31 of 63)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
6
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 10 of 32)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 12 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 32 of 63)
65
Total Points Won
43
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64% ( 36 of 56)
1st Serve %
50% ( 28 of 56)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
8
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 21 of 28)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 23 of 56)
64
Total Points Won
48
L
6-2 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 28 of 35)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 23 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 59)
69
Total Points Won
63
L
6-3 7-6(7) H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
60% ( 28 of 47)
1st Serve %
65% ( 64 of 99)
3
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
2
89% ( 25 of 28)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 39 of 64)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
17% ( 3 of 18)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 10 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 99)
82
Total Points Won
64
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Luciano Darderi
68% ( 61 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 78 of 135)
16
Aces
5
8
Double Faults
4
77% ( 47 of 61)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 53 of 78)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 28 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 57 of 135)
119
Total Points Won
106
W
6-3 6-7(3) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Denis Shapovalov
61% ( 58 of 95)
1st Serve %
57% ( 55 of 97)
2
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
12
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 42 of 55)
57% ( 21 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 17 of 42)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
39% ( 37 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 38 of 97)
96
Total Points Won
96
L
6-4 2-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Botic Van De Zandschulp
57% ( 29 of 51)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
8
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
6
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 7 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
29% ( 15 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
43
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Denis Shapovalov
69% ( 67 of 97)
1st Serve %
56% ( 57 of 102)
3
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
10
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 44 of 57)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
32% ( 31 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 102)
103
Total Points Won
96
L
4-6 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Denis Shapovalov
66% ( 53 of 80)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
14
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 38 of 46)
74% ( 20 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
0% ( 0 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
24% ( 19 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 23 of 79)
84
Total Points Won
75
L
7-6(4) 7-6(5) H2H
QF
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Hugo Gaston
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve %
65% ( 37 of 57)
11
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
82% ( 28 of 34)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 21 of 37)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
63
Total Points Won
41
W
6-4 6-0 H2H

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