Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Sabalenka has secured 39.59% of her second serve points, slightly behind Kudermetova's 40.31%. Could this small advantage help Kudermetova?
• Return Game: On returning, Kudermetova outperforms with 49.3% on second serves compared to Sabalenka's 47.99%, and similarly leads on first serve returns with 34.23% versus Sabalenka's 29.97%.
• Under Pressure: Sabalenka demonstrates a stronger resistance in pressure situations, saving 52.11% of breakpoints, in contrast to Kudermetova’s 44.57%.
• Overall Success Rate: Over the past year, Sabalenka has an impressive win rate of 83.54%, significantly higher than Kudermetova's 55.07%.
• Surface Preference: Sabalenka excels on Hard surfaces, winning 74% of the time, whereas Kudermetova performs best on Indoor Hard with 68% wins.
• Competitive Level: Sabalenka’s matches predominantly occur at the Masters level, winning 80.95%, while Kudermetova's success comes from the Challengers/ITF circuit at 62.5%.
• Head-to-Head Record: Sabalenka has triumphed in their sole encounter, indicating a potential advantage.
• Match Experience: Sabalenka has faced considerably higher-ranked opponents (average rank of 44.92) compared to Kudermetova (average rank of 165.58).
• Deciding Set Performance: Sabalenka shows resilience in deciding sets, winning 63% compared to Kudermetova’s 50% over the past year.
• Break Point Conversion: Kudermetova converts more break points at 38.52%, compared to Sabalenka’s 32.62%.

Editorial Prediction (August 28, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the strengths and recent performances of both players, it's clear that Sabalenka holds several key advantages. Her exceptional win rate over the past year demonstrates her consistency and ability to outperform opponents consistently.

Kudermetova's slight edge in return games and breakpoint conversions is noteworthy, yet Sabalenka’s superior record in deciding sets highlights her competitive spirit in critical moments. The previous head-to-head matchup further solidifies Sabalenka’s upper hand.

While Kudermetova may pose certain challenges with her stronger break point conversions and return game, Sabalenka's experience in more competitive tournaments and resilience under pressure makes her the likelier winner in this upcoming match.