Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Samsonova analysis and find out who is favored!
Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 48% of points on his second serve, while Samsonova has won 43.62%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 58.22% of his opponent's second serve points, while Samsonova has won 52.66%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.78% and 35.75% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 62.12% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Samsonova has saved 51.64% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 76.92% of matches played (W/L 50/ 15), with Samsonova winning 55.56% (W/L 30/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 69/ 43). Samsonova has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 37/ 19), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 59% (W/L 117/ 83).
- Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/ 9), where as Samsonova has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 60% of matches (W/L 15/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Sabalenka winning 1 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 4 and Samsonova winning 4. The last match between Sabalenka and Samsonova was at the Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal, 11-08-2023, Third, Hard with Liudmila Samsonova getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:28:24.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Samsonova have played a deciding set 2 times, with Sabalenka winning 0 times and Samsonova 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 2, and Samsonova 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 60.63 while Samsonova has played against players with an average rank of 93.2.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Samsonova has won 39% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 46.49% of breakpoint opportunities, and Samsonova has converted 39.68% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Sabalenka 1 - 2 Samsonova
20
Total
5
Mast
4
Chall
2
Slam
7
Main
2
Minor
2
Rank
1
High
25
Age
R
Plays
1
Total2
1
Hard2
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
17
Rank
12
High
25
Age
R
Plays
8
Total
0
Mast
2
Chall
0
Slam
4
Main
2
Minor
Form
68% (383-179)
Career Total W/L
61% (289-182)
79% (15-4)
YTD W/L
31% (4-9)
$18,896,949
Career Prize Money
$3,633,062
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Liudmila Samsonova |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 1 | 2 |
Sets Won | 4 | 4 |
Games Won | 41 | 43 |
Aces (Total) | 30 | 21 |
DFs (Total) | 28 | 20 |
Avg Match Time | 2:28:24 | 2:28:24 |
1st Serve % | 64% (175/273) | 49% (149/303) |
1st Serve Win% | 68% (119/175) | 73% (109/149) |
2nd Serve Win% | 48% (47/98) | 49% (75/154) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 26% (8/31) | 39% (9/23) |
Return Points W% | 39% (119/303) | 39% (107/273) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 33% (1/3) | 67% (2/3) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/2) | 100% (2/2) |
1st set W, W | 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
1st set W, L | 0% (1/0) | 0% (2/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (2/0) | 0% (1/0) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-6(2) 4-6 6-3 |
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
48%
(
59 of
124)
1st Serve %
57%
(
56 of
99)
8
Aces
13
9
Double Faults
11
78%
(
46 of
59)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
44 of
56)
49%
(
32 of
65)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
18 of
43)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
37%
(
46 of
124)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
37 of
99)
115
Total Points Won
108
|
||||
7-6(8) 7-6(3) |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
71%
(
68 of
96)
1st Serve %
59%
(
51 of
86)
11
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
4
62%
(
42 of
68)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
36 of
51)
61%
(
17 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
16 of
35)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
39%
(
37 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
34 of
86)
93
Total Points Won
89
|
||||
6-4 2-6 6-2 |
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
42%
(
39 of
93)
1st Serve %
65%
(
51 of
78)
5
Aces
6
7
Double Faults
11
69%
(
27 of
39)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
33 of
51)
50%
(
27 of
54)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
42%
(
39 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
33 of
78)
87
Total Points Won
84
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Liudmila Samsonova |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 79% (15/4) | 31% (4/9) |
Sets Win/Loss | 76% (32/10) | 40% (12/18) |
Games Win/Loss | 60% (226/149) | 46% (129/152) |
Hard Win/Loss | 78% (14/4) | 33% (4/8) |
Clay Win/Loss | 100% (1/0) | 0% (0/1) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.56 | 0.46 |
Aces Total | 101 | 63 |
DFs per game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
DFs Total | 55 | 69 |
Avg Match Time | 1:31:48 | 1:43:48 |
Avg Opp Rank | 78.53 | 52.85 |
1st Serve % | 63% (758/1196) | 49% (429/884) |
1st Serve W% | 73% (551/758) | 70% (302/429) |
2nd Serve W% | 49% (213/438) | 45% (204/455) |
BPs Won% Total | 47% (74/159) | 40% (39/97) |
Return Pts W% | 46% (561/1215) | 41% (371/904) |
Slam W/L | 100% (7/0) | 0% (0/1) |
Masters W/L | 50% (3/3) | 20% (1/4) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 83% (5/1) | 43% (3/4) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 78% (14/18) | 31% (4/13) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 80% (4/5) | 67% (2/3) |
Deciding Set W% | 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/4) |
1st set W, W | 87% (15/13) | 80% (5/4) |
1st set W, L | 7% (15/1) | 20% (5/1) |
1st set L, W | 25% (4/1) | 0% (8/0) |
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
66%
(
70 of
106)
1st Serve %
66%
(
59 of
90)
4
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
70%
(
49 of
70)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
40 of
59)
44%
(
16 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
41 of
106)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
35 of
90)
100
Total Points Won
96
|
7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 ret. | H2H | ||
R3 |
Anhelina Kalinina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67%
(
55 of
82)
1st Serve %
66%
(
50 of
76)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
6
60%
(
33 of
55)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
31 of
50)
37%
(
10 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
8 of
26)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
48%
(
39 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
37 of
76)
80
Total Points Won
78
|
6-4 1-6 6-1 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
76%
(
39 of
51)
1st Serve %
59%
(
44 of
74)
3
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
4
77%
(
30 of
39)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
27 of
44)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
14 of
30)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
14 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
33 of
74)
70
Total Points Won
55
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
R4 |
Emma Navarro
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60%
(
54 of
90)
1st Serve %
58%
(
42 of
73)
2
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
65%
(
35 of
54)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
56%
(
20 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
19 of
31)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
39%
(
35 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
28 of
73)
83
Total Points Won
80
|
6-3 3-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Raducanu
63%
(
47 of
75)
1st Serve %
62%
(
36 of
58)
8
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
35 of
47)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
24 of
36)
54%
(
15 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
12 of
22)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
10%
(
1 of
10)
33%
(
25 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
22 of
58)
72
Total Points Won
61
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Peyton Stearns
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
64%
(
75 of
117)
10
Aces
3
9
Double Faults
4
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
47 of
75)
43%
(
18 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
19 of
42)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
37%
(
40 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
51 of
117)
120
Total Points Won
106
|
6-7(2) 6-2 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Donna Vekic
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54%
(
59 of
109)
1st Serve %
57%
(
52 of
91)
14
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
8
63%
(
37 of
59)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
54%
(
27 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
16 of
39)
70%
(
7 of
10)
Break Points Won
21%
(
3 of
14)
41%
(
45 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
91)
108
Total Points Won
92
|
6-7(5) 6-3 6-0 | H2H | ||
F |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Qinwen Zheng
67%
(
38 of
57)
1st Serve %
53%
(
27 of
51)
3
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
6
84%
(
32 of
38)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
20 of
27)
42%
(
8 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
9 of
24)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
30%
(
17 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
22 of
51)
62
Total Points Won
46
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
SF |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
76%
(
50 of
66)
1st Serve %
57%
(
48 of
84)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
8
70%
(
35 of
50)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
31 of
48)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
14 of
36)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
35%
(
23 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
39 of
84)
82
Total Points Won
68
|
7-6(2) 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Barbora Krejcikova
63%
(
25 of
40)
1st Serve %
59%
(
29 of
49)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
72%
(
18 of
25)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
53%
(
8 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
20%
(
4 of
20)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
35%
(
14 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
29 of
49)
55
Total Points Won
34
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H |
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Liudmila Samsonova Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R1 |
Anastasia Potapova
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
55%
(
51 of
93)
1st Serve %
45%
(
46 of
102)
5
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
4
73%
(
37 of
51)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
40%
(
17 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
23 of
56)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
42%
(
5 of
12)
42%
(
39 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
46 of
102)
100
Total Points Won
95
|
6-4 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
73%
(
61 of
83)
1st Serve %
46%
(
38 of
82)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
8
66%
(
40 of
61)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
24 of
38)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
18 of
44)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
40%
(
33 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
40 of
82)
90
Total Points Won
75
|
6-1 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Naomi Osaka
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
47%
(
32 of
68)
1st Serve %
48%
(
30 of
63)
4
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
6
66%
(
21 of
32)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
67%
(
24 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
17 of
33)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
34%
(
23 of
68)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
71
Total Points Won
60
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Marketa Vondrousova
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
69%
(
36 of
52)
1st Serve %
40%
(
19 of
48)
1
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
75%
(
27 of
36)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
11 of
19)
44%
(
7 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
35%
(
18 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
25 of
48)
59
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
R2 | w/o | H2H | |||
R1 |
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Viktoriya Tomova
52%
(
37 of
71)
1st Serve %
72%
(
52 of
72)
13
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
1
84%
(
31 of
37)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
30 of
52)
53%
(
18 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
65%
(
13 of
20)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
31%
(
22 of
71)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
29 of
72)
78
Total Points Won
65
|
7-6(2) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
66%
(
59 of
89)
1st Serve %
61%
(
50 of
82)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
5
68%
(
40 of
59)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
36 of
50)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
13 of
32)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
40%
(
36 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
33 of
82)
86
Total Points Won
85
|
7-5 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
SF |
Elena Rybakina
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
64%
(
45 of
70)
1st Serve %
54%
(
45 of
84)
9
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
7
73%
(
33 of
45)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
27 of
45)
48%
(
12 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
15 of
39)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
36%
(
25 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
42 of
84)
87
Total Points Won
67
|
6-0 4-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Barbora Krejcikova
50%
(
31 of
62)
1st Serve %
51%
(
39 of
77)
4
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
2
81%
(
25 of
31)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
27 of
39)
52%
(
16 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
17 of
38)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
34%
(
21 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
33 of
77)
74
Total Points Won
65
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Anhelina Kalinina
33%
(
16 of
49)
1st Serve %
61%
(
28 of
46)
5
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
88%
(
14 of
16)
1st Serve Won
46%
(
13 of
28)
58%
(
19 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
33%
(
16 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
26 of
46)
59
Total Points Won
36
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H |
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