Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla Rakhimova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Sabalenka has recently been more successful on her second serve than Rakhimova, winning 39.5% compared to 36.95%. Could this serve give Sabalenka an advantage?
• Rakhimova outperforms Sabalenka on returning serve, winning 52.25% of opponent second serve points and 33.64% of first serve returns, slightly higher than Sabalenka's 49.73% and 29.39% respectively.
• Analyzing pressure situations, Sabalenka has saved 53.13% of breakpoints recently, whereas Rakhimova has saved 50.18%, giving Sabalenka a marginal superiority in critical moments.
• Over the past year, Sabalenka has a much higher match win rate at 83.33% compared to Rakhimova's 49.25%.
• Sabalenka excels on hard surfaces with a career win rate of 74%, while Rakhimova performs best on indoor hard courts, winning 65% of matches.
• Sabalenka competes more frequently at the Masters series with an 82.61% win rate, while Rakhimova's matches are mostly at the Main tour level where she has a 50% win rate.
• Head-to-head, Sabalenka leads with two victories in previous encounters against Rakhimova, highlighting her historical dominance.
• In deciding sets, Sabalenka has a better record, winning 56% over the last year and triumphing in their only shared decisive set, while Rakhimova has a 32% win record in deciding sets.
• Match duration averages about 1:56:38 when these players meet, showing competitive play.
• Sabalenka's recent break point conversion rate of 33.91% is slightly lower than Rakhimova’s at 35.16%, potentially offering Rakhimova an advantage in break point scenarios.
• Finally, Sabalenka has faced tougher opponents with an average rank of 36.29 compared to Rakhimova, who faced players ranked around 138.63.

Editorial Prediction (May 25, 2025, UTC):

Both players bring strengths to this match, yet Sabalenka appears to have the upper hand. Her superior second serve performance and experience against higher-ranked opponents are noteworthy, pushing her consistent victories over the past year.

Rakhimova, while a strong returner and capable of converting break points, falls slightly behind in critical areas such as dealing with pressure situations and sustaining performance in deciding sets.

Although Rakhimova poses a challenge with her skill on indoor hard courts and strong return stats, the statistics favor Sabalenka's more consistent and recent form, especially on hard courts where the match will be played.

Given these factors, Sabalenka is projected to be the likely winner of the upcoming match.