Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When comparing second serve success, Sabalenka edges out with a recent win rate of 39.93%, slightly higher than Raducanu's 37.98%.
• In return games, Sabalenka has a marginal lead on the opponent's second serve at 48.83% compared to Raducanu's 48.45%.
• For returns on the first serve, Raducanu shows strength with 32.06% effectiveness, surpassing Sabalenka's 30.72%.
• Under pressure, Sabalenka saves 53.85% of breakpoints, a bit more successfully than Raducanu's 49.4%.
• Overall match performance over the past year heavily favors Sabalenka with 85.37% wins against Raducanu's 61.7%.
• Both players perform best on hard courts; Sabalenka excels with a 74% career win rate, while Raducanu holds a 68% win rate.
• In the last 12 months, Sabalenka has competed against higher-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 44.09, compared to Raducanu's 56.62.
• Directly, Sabalenka has dominated their head-to-head matches, winning both encounters and all four sets.
• On break point conversion, Raducanu takes the lead, converting 37.31% of her opportunities as opposed to Sabalenka's 33.94%.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Sabalenka's win rate is 61% over the last year, higher than Raducanu's 45%.

Editorial Prediction (August 11, 2025, UTC):

As we approach the upcoming match, both players exhibit particular strengths that could tip the scales. Sabalenka's slight edge in second serve points and superior breakpoint saves under pressure suggest she could be more stable in key moments.

However, Raducanu's higher success on first serve returns and break point conversion indicate an ability to seize advantage when presented. In historical and recent form, Sabalenka’s overall performance and consistent triumph in their past encounters heavily tilt the balance in her favor.

Taking into account Sabalenka's dominance in head-to-head matchups and higher performance against top-ranked opponents, she is the expected victor for this match.