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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Mertens analysis and find out who is favored!
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 48.81% of points on his second serve, while Mertens has won 46.31%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 55.78% of his opponent's second serve points, while Mertens has won 57.57%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.46% and 34.99% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 58.5% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Mertens has saved 55.09% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 74.19% of matches played (W/L 46/ 16), with Mertens winning 54.9% (W/L 28/ 23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 74/ 45). Mertens has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 254/ 128), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 53% (W/L 31/ 27).
- Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 62.96% of matches (W/L 17/ 10), where as Mertens has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 64% of matches (W/L 16/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Sabalenka winning 7 times. They have played 21 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 15 and Mertens winning 6. The last match between Sabalenka and Mertens was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 21-01-2023, Third, Hard with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:41:40.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Mertens have played a deciding set 3 times, with Sabalenka winning 2 times and Mertens 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 1, and Mertens 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 67.73 while Mertens has played against players with an average rank of 120.06.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Mertens has won 41% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 46.19% of breakpoint opportunities, and Mertens has converted 47.8% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Sabalenka 7 - 2 Mertens
2
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
7
Total2
4
Hard1
1
Clay1
1
Indoor0
1
Grass0
30
Rank
12
High
28
Age
R
Plays
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
Form
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
68% (388-181)
Career Total W/L
64% (432-247)
77% (20-6)
YTD W/L
54% (13-11)
$19,409,209
Career Prize Money
$7,940,543
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Elise Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Sets Won | 15 | 6 |
| Games Won | 110 | 85 |
| Aces (Total) | 38 | 36 |
| DFs (Total) | 56 | 33 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:41:40 | 1:41:40 |
| 1st Serve % | 58% (399/693) | 64% (390/612) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 71% (285/399) | 65% (253/390) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 46% (134/294) | 42% (94/222) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 47% (34/73) | 29% (24/83) |
| Return Points W% | 43% (265/612) | 40% (274/693) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 78% (7/9) | 22% (2/9) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
| 1st set W, W | 88% (8/7) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, L | 13% (8/1) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 13% (8/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-2 6-3 |
Stats 
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elise Mertens
56%
(
28 of
50)
1st Serve %
70%
(
39 of
56)
4
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
64%
(
14 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
15 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
28 of
56)
63
Total Points Won
43
|
||||
| 6-4 6-1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elise Mertens
51%
(
29 of
57)
1st Serve %
64%
(
28 of
44)
2
Aces
6
10
Double Faults
1
76%
(
22 of
29)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
17 of
28)
54%
(
15 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
4 of
16)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
35%
(
20 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
23 of
44)
60
Total Points Won
41
|
||||
| 6-1 4-0 ret. |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elise Mertens
45%
(
17 of
38)
1st Serve %
57%
(
20 of
35)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
88%
(
15 of
17)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
5 of
15)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
29%
(
11 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
20 of
35)
47
Total Points Won
26
|
||||
| 7-5 6-2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elise Mertens
60%
(
44 of
73)
1st Serve %
63%
(
45 of
71)
3
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
3
75%
(
33 of
44)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
27 of
45)
41%
(
12 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
7 of
26)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
38%
(
28 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
37 of
71)
82
Total Points Won
62
|
||||
| 6-4 6-3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elise Mertens
56%
(
35 of
62)
1st Serve %
59%
(
37 of
63)
7
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
8
71%
(
25 of
35)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
48%
(
13 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
7 of
26)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
39%
(
24 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
33 of
63)
71
Total Points Won
54
|
||||
| 6-4 3-6 7-5 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elise Mertens
59%
(
63 of
107)
1st Serve %
67%
(
57 of
85)
6
Aces
5
10
Double Faults
1
73%
(
46 of
63)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
38 of
57)
43%
(
19 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
17 of
28)
31%
(
4 of
13)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
42 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
30 of
85)
95
Total Points Won
97
|
||||
| 2-6 7-6(1) 6-0 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
59 of
89)
1st Serve %
61%
(
59 of
97)
2
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
10
68%
(
40 of
59)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
43 of
59)
50%
(
15 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
11 of
38)
24%
(
4 of
17)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
38%
(
34 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
43 of
97)
98
Total Points Won
88
|
||||
| 7-5 2-6 7-6(4) |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elise Mertens
63%
(
88 of
140)
1st Serve %
62%
(
72 of
117)
5
Aces
12
6
Double Faults
7
64%
(
56 of
88)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
52 of
72)
48%
(
25 of
52)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
21 of
45)
25%
(
4 of
16)
Break Points Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
42%
(
59 of
140)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
44 of
117)
125
Total Points Won
132
|
||||
| 7-5 6-2 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
63%
(
33 of
52)
1st Serve %
52%
(
36 of
69)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
76%
(
25 of
33)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
24 of
36)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
13 of
33)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
16 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
32 of
69)
68
Total Points Won
53
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Elise Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 77% (20/6) | 54% (13/11) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 71% (44/18) | 54% (30/26) |
| Games Win/Loss | 58% (333/243) | 51% (249/237) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 78% (14/4) | 56% (9/7) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 75% (6/2) | 50% (3/3) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 50% (1/1) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| Aces Total | 137 | 73 |
| DFs per game | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| DFs Total | 87 | 103 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:43:44 | 1:39:48 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 77.35 | 120.96 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (1144/1814) | 56% (844/1494) |
| 1st Serve W% | 72% (827/1144) | 67% (568/844) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 49% (327/670) | 46% (301/650) |
| BPs Won% Total | 46% (103/223) | 48% (87/182) |
| Return Pts W% | 44% (827/1874) | 43% (667/1561) |
| Slam W/L | 100% (7/0) | 50% (1/1) |
| Masters W/L | 67% (8/4) | 38% (3/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 71% (5/2) | 64% (9/5) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 76% (19/25) | 54% (13/24) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 63% (5/8) | 0% (0/2) |
| Deciding Set W% | 50% (5/10) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st set W, W | 84% (19/16) | 80% (15/12) |
| 1st set W, L | 11% (19/2) | 20% (15/3) |
| 1st set L, W | 43% (7/3) | 11% (9/1) |
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
68 of
118)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
46 of
68)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
24 of
50)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
39%
(
46 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
48 of
118)
121
Total Points Won
116
|
7-5 4-6 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64%
(
56 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77%
(
43 of
56)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
46 of
65)
50%
(
16 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
24 of
41)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
33%
(
29 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
36 of
106)
95
Total Points Won
99
|
1-6 7-5 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Mirra Andreeva
65%
(
34 of
52)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
58)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
20 of
31)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
14 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
58)
65
Total Points Won
45
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
66%
(
60 of
91)
1st Serve %
52%
(
48 of
93)
4
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
4
68%
(
41 of
60)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
33 of
48)
45%
(
14 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
18 of
45)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
40%
(
36 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
42 of
93)
97
Total Points Won
87
|
4-6 6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Robin Montgomery
71%
(
72 of
101)
1st Serve %
55%
(
53 of
96)
8
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
71%
(
51 of
72)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
35 of
53)
62%
(
18 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
21 of
43)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
32%
(
32 of
101)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
40 of
96)
109
Total Points Won
88
|
6-1 6-7(5) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Magda Linette
58%
(
52 of
90)
1st Serve %
65%
(
60 of
92)
10
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
1
79%
(
41 of
52)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
41 of
60)
47%
(
18 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
20 of
32)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
34%
(
31 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
31 of
92)
90
Total Points Won
92
|
6-4 3-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Marketa Vondrousova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
62%
(
59 of
95)
1st Serve %
56%
(
44 of
78)
5
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
9
58%
(
34 of
59)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
27 of
44)
47%
(
17 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
88%
(
7 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
46%
(
44 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
38 of
78)
89
Total Points Won
84
|
3-6 6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
66%
(
70 of
106)
1st Serve %
66%
(
59 of
90)
4
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
70%
(
49 of
70)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
40 of
59)
44%
(
16 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
41 of
106)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
35 of
90)
100
Total Points Won
96
|
7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 ret. | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Anhelina Kalinina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67%
(
55 of
82)
1st Serve %
66%
(
50 of
76)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
6
60%
(
33 of
55)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
31 of
50)
37%
(
10 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
8 of
26)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
48%
(
39 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
37 of
76)
80
Total Points Won
78
|
6-4 1-6 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
76%
(
39 of
51)
1st Serve %
59%
(
44 of
74)
3
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
4
77%
(
30 of
39)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
27 of
44)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
14 of
30)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
14 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
33 of
74)
70
Total Points Won
55
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Elise Mertens Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Sloane Stephens
Player
Elise Mertens
74%
(
70 of
95)
1st Serve %
58%
(
48 of
83)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
6
67%
(
47 of
70)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
34 of
48)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
11 of
35)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
36%
(
34 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
38 of
83)
99
Total Points Won
79
|
3-6 6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Elise Mertens
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve %
53%
(
26 of
49)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
65%
(
31 of
48)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
15 of
26)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
9 of
23)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
39%
(
25 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
64
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Tatjana Maria
56%
(
35 of
62)
1st Serve %
56%
(
35 of
62)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
80%
(
28 of
35)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
41%
(
11 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
8 of
27)
80%
(
8 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
37%
(
23 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
35 of
62)
74
Total Points Won
50
|
6-1 4-6 6-0 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Elise Mertens
62%
(
37 of
60)
1st Serve %
53%
(
25 of
47)
5
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
76%
(
28 of
37)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
15 of
25)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
33%
(
20 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
23 of
47)
63
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Varvara Gracheva
47%
(
46 of
97)
1st Serve %
73%
(
67 of
92)
6
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
3
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
44 of
67)
47%
(
24 of
51)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
6 of
25)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
29%
(
4 of
14)
43%
(
42 of
97)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
42 of
92)
97
Total Points Won
92
|
6-4 3-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Elina Svitolina
63%
(
40 of
63)
1st Serve %
71%
(
25 of
35)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
73%
(
29 of
40)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
15 of
25)
48%
(
11 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
37%
(
23 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
17 of
35)
57
Total Points Won
41
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Taylor Townsend
Player
Elise Mertens
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve %
46%
(
22 of
48)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
76%
(
26 of
34)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
14 of
26)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
29%
(
14 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
23 of
48)
57
Total Points Won
39
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Cori Gauff
Player
Elise Mertens
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve %
54%
(
26 of
48)
3
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
18%
(
2 of
11)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
7 of
22)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
33%
(
14 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
65%
(
31 of
48)
59
Total Points Won
31
|
6-0 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Naomi Osaka
62%
(
49 of
79)
1st Serve %
38%
(
29 of
76)
5
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
6
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
23 of
29)
50%
(
15 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
17 of
47)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
41%
(
32 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
36 of
76)
83
Total Points Won
72
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Elise Mertens
Player
Xinyu Wang
54%
(
25 of
46)
1st Serve %
57%
(
41 of
72)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
88%
(
22 of
25)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
21 of
41)
52%
(
11 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
16 of
31)
29%
(
4 of
14)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
13 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
35 of
72)
68
Total Points Won
50
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
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Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aryna Sabalenka
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