Ariana Geerlings vs Federica Urgesi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How are players performing on their second serve? Geerlings has a recent second serve success rate of 36.29%, while Urgesi is at 41.56%, indicating a superior performance by Urgesi in this aspect.
• Regarding return game stats, Geerlings demonstrates stronger form, winning 54.11% of second serve returns compared to Urgesi's 52.06%.
• Examining first serve returns, Geerlings again comes out ahead, claiming 36.92% of points, whereas Urgesi gets 33.9%.
• In pressure situations, such as saving breakpoints, Urgesi excels slightly, saving 51.01% compared to Geerlings’ 46.05%.
• Match win percentages over the past year show Geerlings winning 59.46% of matches, while Urgesi has a slightly lower win rate at 54.69%.
• On their preferred surfaces, Geerlings excels on clay with a win rate of 64%, whereas Urgesi performs best on indoor hard courts at 63%.
• Both players primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with Geerlings having a slight advantage, winning 59.68% compared to Urgesi's 56.9%.
• In terms of opponent quality, Geerlings faces players with an average rank of 399.93, slightly lower than Urgesi's 399.44, indicating similar competitive levels.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Geerlings has the edge, winning 61% of these compared to Urgesi's 54%.
• When converting breakpoints, Urgesi is more efficient, converting 46.15% of opportunities, while Geerlings converts at 43.86%.

Editorial Prediction (July 8, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing their recent form, Urgesi shows a distinct advantage in second serve performance, which could prove crucial in this match. His ability to convert breakpoints and save them under pressure suggests mental resilience.

Geerlings, however, shows strength in return games and deciding sets, indicating his potential to capitalize on Urgesi's serve and maintain competitiveness, especially late in matches.

Both players have similar experiences at tournament levels, but the slight differences in break point handling and decision-set performance might be decisive.

Based on current statistics, Urgesi appears to have a slight edge and is more likely to win this upcoming match.