Ariana Arseneault vs Lilian Poling Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: Poling is slightly less efficient on their second serve recently, winning 40.82% of points, compared to Arseneault's 41.2%. Could this small difference become significant?
• Return game effectiveness: Poling has a stronger return game with 52.01% success on opponents' second serves, contrasting with Arseneault's 50.19%. Similarly, Poling outperforms Arseneault on first serve returns, winning 37.07% versus 32.27%.
• Handling pressure: Poling has shown resilience, saving 47.18% of breakpoints, which is better than Arseneault's 43.13%.
• Match performance overview: Arseneault has a superior match win rate, capturing 60.47% of matches in the last year, while Poling has won 53.33%.
• Surface strengths: Poling excels on clay with a 55% win rate, whereas Arseneault is stronger on indoor hard courts, also winning 55%.
• Competition level: Arseneault has maintained a higher win percentage (58.97%) in Challengers/ITF events compared to Poling's 51.61%.
• Opponent quality: Poling has faced tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 314.28, while Arseneault's opponents averaged 381.67 in ranking.
• Deciding set performance: Poling demonstrates better performance, winning 63% of deciding sets compared to Arseneault's 42%.
• Breakpoint conversion: Arseneault has a slight edge in converting breakpoints, with a success rate of 46.21% in recent matches against Poling's 43.13%.

Editorial Prediction (July 15, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the comparative strengths and weaknesses of Poling and Arseneault, several patterns emerge that could influence the outcome of their match.

Poling shows a notable advantage in return games and under pressure, especially when converting breaks and in deciding sets. These areas often hold significant weight in determining match outcomes, and Poling's superior stats in these categories suggest a tactical edge.

However, Arseneault boasts a higher overall win rate and performs slightly better in break point conversions. His stronger serve performance reflects consistency, which could tip momentum in his favor if he capitalizes on crucial opportunities.

Ultimately, while both players have strengths across various dimensions, Poling's return game prowess and mental toughness in clutch moments could be decisive. Considering these strategic facets, Poling has a slight edge and is likely to win this upcoming tennis match.