Prediction of Anmar Faleh Alhogbani vs Aziz Ouakaa at M25 Monastir 10-08-25

• In assessing second serve performance over the last six months, Aziz Ouakaa has a slight edge, winning 43.45% compared to Anmar Faleh Alhogbani's 40.80%. Could this difference influence the match outcome? Quite possibly, given its correlation with match prediction accuracy.
• Regarding return game proficiency, Aziz Ouakaa slightly outperforms Faleh Alhogbani on second serve returns with 48.84% over 47.41%. On first serve returns, Ouakaa is even stronger, winning 31.33% compared to Faleh Alhogbani’s 25.58%.
• When under pressure, Faleh Alhogbani excels in saving breakpoints at 55.17%, whereas Ouakaa manages 51.41%. This could be crucial in tight game scenarios for in-game betting.
• In terms of overall match success over the past year, Faleh Alhogbani leads with 62.75% wins, surpassing Ouakaa's 52.63% victory rate, offering a better win record perspective.
• Analyzing surface preferences, both players have their highest success rate on different hard courts, with Alhogbani excelling on indoor hard and Ouakaa doing well on outdoor hard.
• In terms of tournament level, both have competed mostly in Futures/Satellite/ITF $10K events, with Faleh Alhogbani displaying a superior win rate of 62.75% over Ouakaa's 54.55%.
• Considering opponent quality, Alhogbani has faced the higher-ranked average competition, with opponents ranked at 218.82, compared to Ouakaa's 383.86, suggesting more challenging encounters.
• In deciding sets, Ouakaa appears more successful, winning 60% of these matches, while Alhogbani's rate is at 50% over the last year, hinting at strength in tight, match-deciding scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match spotlights Anmar Faleh Alhogbani and Aziz Ouakaa, each bringing unique strengths to the court. Ouakaa presents a slightly stronger second serve and return game, which might give him an edge, particularly in the initial exchanges.

However, Faleh Alhogbani showcases superior breakpoint defense and has experienced tougher competition over the past year. His overall winning percentage further highlights his resilience and match-winning capability.

Both players have shown proficiency in their favored surface conditions but excel on different types of hard courts. The key differentiator could be Alhogbani’s ability to maintain performance against higher-ranked competitors, indicating a potential advantage.

Finally, while Ouakaa shows greater effectiveness in deciding sets, the comprehensive view of Alhogbani's performance suggests that he possesses the qualities necessary to secure victory. Based on the comparison of strengths and previous form, Anmar Faleh Alhogbani seems more likely to emerge as the winner in this match.