Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Rublev vs Alcaraz analysis and find out who is favored!
Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rublev has won 56.08% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 56.62%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rublev, in recent form, has won 52.62% of his opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz has won 57.2%. The same stats for first serve returns are 27.6% and 35.38% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Rublev has saved 70.11% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alcaraz has saved 58.93% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Rublev has won 70.73% of matches played (W/L 58/ 24), with Alcaraz winning 82.28% (W/L 65/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Rublev has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 25/ 13), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 114/ 65). Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10).
- Player level: In the last year, Rublev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 76.47% of matches (W/L 26/ 8), where as Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80.65% of matches (W/L 25/ 6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Rublev winning 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Rublev winning 0 and Alcaraz winning 2. The last match between Rublev and Alcaraz was at the Nitto ATP Finals - Turin, 15-11-2023, Robin, I.hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:14:51.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Rublev and Alcaraz have played a deciding set 0 times, with Rublev winning 0 times and Alcaraz 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Rublev winning 0, and Alcaraz 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rublev has played against opponents with an average rank of 92.22 while Alcaraz has played against players with an average rank of 87.8.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rublev has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alcaraz has won 72% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Rublev has converted 34.88% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alcaraz has converted 40.08% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Rublev 0 - 1 Alcaraz
20
Total
1
Mast
1
Chall
0
Slam
14
Main
4
Minor
6
Rank
5
High
26
Age
R
Plays
0
Total1
0
Hard0
0
Clay0
0
Indoor1
0
Grass0
2
Rank
1
High
20
Age
R
Plays
20
Total
5
Mast
4
Chall
2
Slam
6
Main
3
Minor
Form
65% (444-238)
Career Total W/L
79% (245-66)
71% (15-6)
YTD W/L
83% (15-3)
$14,358,880
Career Prize Money
$18,888,645
1
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Andrey Rublev | Carlos Alcaraz |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 0 | 1 |
Sets Won | 0 | 2 |
Games Won | 7 | 13 |
Aces (Total) | 4 | 5 |
DFs (Total) | 2 | 0 |
Avg Match Time | 1:14:51 | 1:14:51 |
1st Serve % | 74% (45/61) | 72% (34/47) |
1st Serve Win% | 62% (28/45) | 94% (32/34) |
2nd Serve Win% | 50% (8/16) | 62% (8/13) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 50% (3/6) |
Return Points W% | 15% (7/47) | 41% (25/61) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, W | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
1st set W, L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (1/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-5 6-2 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Andrey Rublev
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve %
74%
(
45 of
61)
5
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
94%
(
32 of
34)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
28 of
45)
62%
(
8 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
8 of
16)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
15%
(
7 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
25 of
61)
65
Total Points Won
43
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Andrey Rublev | Carlos Alcaraz |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 71% (15/6) | 83% (15/3) |
Sets Win/Loss | 63% (36/21) | 81% (35/8) |
Games Win/Loss | 54% (315/272) | 62% (242/147) |
Hard Win/Loss | 72% (13/5) | 93% (13/1) |
Clay Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 50% (2/2) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.61 | 0.3 |
Aces Total | 177 | 57 |
DFs per game | 0.11 | 0.15 |
DFs Total | 33 | 28 |
Avg Match Time | 1:57:54 | 1:45:23 |
Avg Opp Rank | 158.29 | 138.28 |
1st Serve % | 64% (1126/1758) | 68% (768/1132) |
1st Serve W% | 76% (854/1126) | 75% (579/768) |
2nd Serve W% | 59% (376/632) | 57% (209/364) |
BPs Won% Total | 31% (48/155) | 44% (67/154) |
Return Pts W% | 37% (699/1911) | 44% (576/1305) |
Slam W/L | 80% (4/1) | 80% (4/1) |
Masters W/L | 33% (1/2) | 100% (9/0) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 77% (10/3) | 50% (2/2) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 73% (11/15) | 92% (11/12) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 67% (4/6) | 80% (4/5) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 46% (6/13) | 63% (5/8) |
Deciding Set W% | 86% (6/7) | 100% (2/2) |
1st set W, W | 92% (13/12) | 100% (13/13) |
1st set W, L | 8% (13/1) | 0% (13/0) |
1st set L, W | 38% (8/3) | 50% (4/2) |
Andrey Rublev Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 |
Tomas Machac
Player
Andrey Rublev
66%
(
37 of
56)
1st Serve %
63%
(
33 of
52)
1
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
0
86%
(
32 of
37)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
23 of
33)
53%
(
10 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
68%
(
13 of
19)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
14 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
31%
(
16 of
52)
58
Total Points Won
50
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Andrey Rublev
53%
(
27 of
51)
1st Serve %
56%
(
33 of
59)
9
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
93%
(
25 of
27)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
21 of
33)
63%
(
15 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
22%
(
11 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
22 of
59)
62
Total Points Won
48
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Andy Murray
54%
(
42 of
78)
1st Serve %
63%
(
45 of
72)
9
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
4
74%
(
31 of
42)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
31 of
45)
64%
(
23 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
6)
31%
(
24 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
30 of
72)
84
Total Points Won
66
|
7-6(3) 6-1 | H2H | ||
SF |
Alexander Bublik
Player
Andrey Rublev
67%
(
82 of
122)
1st Serve %
68%
(
67 of
98)
21
Aces
9
6
Double Faults
2
70%
(
57 of
82)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
49 of
67)
55%
(
22 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
68%
(
21 of
31)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
21%
(
3 of
14)
35%
(
43 of
122)
Rtn Points Won
29%
(
28 of
98)
107
Total Points Won
113
|
6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-5 def. | H2H | ||
QF |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Sebastian Korda
48%
(
23 of
48)
1st Serve %
56%
(
29 of
52)
2
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
1
74%
(
17 of
23)
1st Serve Won
83%
(
24 of
29)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
26%
(
6 of
23)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
35%
(
17 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
22 of
52)
53
Total Points Won
47
|
6-4 4-3 ret. | H2H | ||
R2 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Arthur Cazaux
72%
(
38 of
53)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
58)
7
Aces
16
0
Double Faults
2
82%
(
31 of
38)
1st Serve Won
81%
(
25 of
31)
60%
(
9 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
25%
(
13 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
21 of
58)
61
Total Points Won
50
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Zhizhen Zhang
73%
(
64 of
88)
1st Serve %
76%
(
68 of
90)
18
Aces
17
2
Double Faults
2
83%
(
53 of
64)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
54 of
68)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
6 of
22)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
22 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
30 of
90)
96
Total Points Won
82
|
6-7(4) 6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
Jakub Mensik
Player
Andrey Rublev
66%
(
52 of
79)
1st Serve %
67%
(
45 of
67)
10
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
2
81%
(
42 of
52)
1st Serve Won
80%
(
36 of
45)
48%
(
13 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
12 of
22)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
6)
30%
(
24 of
79)
Rtn Points Won
28%
(
19 of
67)
74
Total Points Won
72
|
6-4 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Andrey Rublev
Player
Richard Gasquet
65%
(
31 of
48)
1st Serve %
71%
(
36 of
51)
7
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
0
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
27 of
36)
71%
(
12 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
17%
(
8 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
18 of
51)
58
Total Points Won
41
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Andrey Rublev
51%
(
57 of
111)
1st Serve %
66%
(
71 of
107)
10
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
77%
(
44 of
57)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
51 of
71)
52%
(
28 of
54)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
18 of
36)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
35%
(
39 of
111)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
38 of
107)
110
Total Points Won
108
|
7-6(5) 4-6 6-3 | H2H |
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Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R4 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
35 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
18 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81%
(
38 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
24 of
47)
57
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
33 of
53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
36%
(
5 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
33%
(
16 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
60
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
F |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve %
61%
(
48 of
79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
30 of
48)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
17 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
35 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
61
|
7-6(5) 6-1 | H2H | ||
SF |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65%
(
47 of
72)
1st Serve %
62%
(
46 of
74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
30 of
46)
52%
(
13 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
36%
(
26 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
29 of
74)
75
Total Points Won
71
|
1-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
79%
(
31 of
39)
1st Serve %
78%
(
49 of
63)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
87%
(
27 of
31)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
75%
(
6 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
15%
(
6 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
31 of
63)
64
Total Points Won
38
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
R4 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve %
55%
(
32 of
58)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
67%
(
12 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
22%
(
11 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
25 of
58)
63
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve %
67%
(
35 of
52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
67%
(
8 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
25%
(
11 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
58
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57%
(
43 of
76)
1st Serve %
57%
(
52 of
92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86%
(
37 of
43)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
55%
(
18 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
17 of
40)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
28%
(
21 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
99
Total Points Won
69
|
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Thiago Moura Monteiro
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
50%
(
3 of
6)
1st Serve %
40%
(
2 of
5)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
33%
(
1 of
3)
1st Serve Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
33%
(
1 of
3)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
100%
(
1 of
1)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Rtn Points Won
80%
(
4 of
5)
6
Total Points Won
5
|
1-1 ret. | H2H |
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