Andrey Chepelev vs Matas Vasiliauskas Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve stats: Vasiliauskas has a slight edge, winning 43.97% of points, compared to Chepelev's 41.44%. Could this be a turning point in the match?
• Return game insights: Chepelev has a small advantage on opponent's second serve returns, capturing 48.24% of points versus Vasiliauskas's 47.35%. On first serve returns, Chepelev again leads with 31.11% compared to Vasiliauskas's 28.87%.
• Break point resilience: Chepelev excels under pressure, saving 51.66% of breakpoints, better than Vasiliauskas's 44.6%. How might this affect critical moments in the match?
• Overall performance: Chepelev shows a stronger win rate over the past year at 58.62%, while Vasiliauskas has a somewhat lower win percentage of 56.14%.
• Surface preference: Both players perform best on clay, but Chepelev has a superior clay court win rate of 61% compared to Vasiliauskas's 51%.
• Opponent level: Vasiliauskas frequently competes against higher-ranked adversaries with an average rank of 249.91, whereas Chepelev faces opponents averaging a rank of 489.82.
• Deciding set performance: Vasiliauskas is formidable in crucial sets, winning 69% of them, overshadowing Chepelev's 57% success rate in the same scenario.
• Breakpoint conversion: Vasiliauskas converts breakpoints at a significantly higher rate of 43.06% compared to Chepelev's 34.32%.

Editorial Prediction (September 18, 2025, UTC):

The match between Vasiliauskas and Chepelev is anticipated to be competitive, with both players exhibiting noteworthy strengths.

Vasiliauskas has a slight advantage in second serve performance, and excels in pressure situations, particularly in deciding sets. His ability to convert breakpoints also favors him in tight moments.

On the other hand, Chepelev seems slightly more effective in return games, particularly against first serves, and performs better under breakpoint pressure.

Given the data, Chepelev's superior performance on clay and return game consistency may give him the edge, making him the likely winner for the upcoming match.