Andrea Guerrieri vs Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Strength: Andrea Guerrieri has a slightly lower second serve win percentage (43.86%) compared to Oskar Brostrom Poulsen (45.09%). Does a marginal difference in second serve proficiency indicate a competitive edge? In this case, it slightly favors Poulsen.
• Return Game Excellence: Guerrieri outperforms Poulsen significantly in return games, winning 47.63% of second serve return points and 32.73% of first serve return points, compared to Poulsen's 42.80% and 23.29%, respectively.
• Handling Pressure: Poulsen has a slight advantage in high-pressure situations, saving 55.88% of breakpoints, compared to Guerrieri's 53.56%.
• Overall Performance: In the last year, Guerrieri has a higher match win percentage (65.22%, W/L 30/16) than Poulsen (58.82%, W/L 10/7), suggesting a stronger overall performance.
• Surface Performance: Guerrieri excels on Grass with a 67% win rate, whereas Poulsen's strength lies on Hard courts with the same win rate. Both players struggle on Clay, with Poulsen having a particularly low win percentage (8%).
• Tournament Level Experience: Guerrieri has a stronger record in lower-tier tournaments ($10K), winning 70.59% of matches compared to Poulsen's 58.82%. Does playing on different event levels affect their performance correlation? Indeed, it indicates Guerrieri might be better seasoned at the Futures/Satellites/ITF level.
• Quality of Opposition: Poulsen has faced tougher opponents, with an average opponent rank of 30.24, compared to Guerrieri's 497.11, suggesting that Poulsen has been tested against higher-caliber players.
• Deciding Set Performance: Guerrieri is highly effective in deciding sets, winning 59% compared to Poulsen’s 29%, indicating a psychological edge in closely contested matches.

Editorial Prediction (October 14, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the upcoming match between Andrea Guerrieri and Oskar Brostrom Poulsen, several factors stand out that may influence the outcome.

Although Poulsen has slightly better statistics on second serve performance and breakpoints saved, Guerrieri shows superior proficiency in both first and second serve returns. This ability to capitalize on the opponent's serve may prove critical in turning rallies in Guerrieri's favor.

Overall, Guerrieri's higher win percentage over the last year, experience in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, and his impressive ability to win deciding sets also indicate an advantage. Poulsen's experience against higher-ranked players suggests resilience but has not translated to comparable win rates.

Based on current performance trends and comparisons, Andrea Guerrieri is favored to win this upcoming match.