Prediction of Andrea Collarini vs Mariano Kestelboim at Florianopolis Challenger 11-18-25

• Andrea Collarini's second serve performance has been superior, winning 45.76% of points; Mariano Kestelboim trails with 40.78%.
• When it comes to returning opponents' second serves, Collarini holds the edge by winning 49.35% of those points, while Kestelboim manages 44.74%.
• For first serve returns, Kestelboim slightly outperforms Collarini, winning 33.00% compared to Collarini's 31.11%.
• Collarini shows resilience under pressure, saving 52.34% of breakpoints, whereas Kestelboim saves 49.83%.
• Over the past year, Kestelboim boasts a slightly better win rate of 59.09%, compared to Collarini's 53.62%.
• Both players excel on clay, with identical career win percentages of 59% on this surface.
• Their head-to-head history favors Collarini, who leads with two victories out of three encounters.
• Collarini's previous win against Kestelboim at the Montevideo Challenger on clay bodes well for their upcoming match.
• Collarini has faced tougher opponents on average, with opponents ranked at 301.42, compared to Kestelboim's 371.77 over the last year.
• If the match enters a deciding set, Kestelboim has the upper hand, winning 60% of such sets compared to Collarini's 46%.
• Kestelboim displays more effectiveness in breaking serve, converting 44.52% of breakpoints against Collarini's 36.67%.

Editorial Prediction (November 18, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the head-to-head statistics and performance metrics, Andrea Collarini demonstrates advantages in several key areas. His superior second serve performance and ability to return the opponent's second serves more effectively can provide him with an edge in controlling rallies.

Additionally, Collarini's overall stronger track record against higher-ranked opponents suggests resilience and adaptability in challenging match-ups. However, Mariano Kestelboim's proficiency in breaking serve and winning deciding sets could turn the tide if he forces a close contest.

Despite these considerations, Collarini's favorable history in direct matches and his previous victory at the Montevideo Challenger point to a probable win for Andrea Collarini in their upcoming clash.