Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin vs Lourdes Ayala Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When analyzing the second serve performance, recent statistics show that Elkin has gained an edge with a win percentage of 41.58% in the past six months, compared to Ayala's 34.98%. This stat is often indicative of match prediction accuracy and suggests a slight advantage for Elkin. On return games, Elkin has been able to win 52.21% of their opponent's second serve points, whereas Ayala has managed 50.95%. For first serve returns, Elkin leads again with a 35.7% success rate over Ayala's 31.7%, cementing Elkin as slightly favored in their head-to-head (H2H) matchup. Ayala does, however, come through in breakpoint situations by saving 38.14%, slightly behind Elkin's 40.37%, which offers insights into each player's resilience under pressure.

Over the previous year, performance data reveals Elkin won only 34.88% of their matches, with a record of 15 wins and 28 losses. In contrast, Ayala achieved a win rate of 48.39% from 15 wins and 16 losses, which displays a better overall performance in matches played. Surface preferences reveal that Elkin is more successful on clay, holding a 41% win rate, while Ayala fares best on indoor hard surfaces with a 60% win rate. Additionally, player levels can be compared through tournament participation, where Elkin won 36.67% of matches at Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, while Ayala reached a 50% success rate under similar conditions.

Their direct head-to-head battle has seen Ayala triumphant with one match win against Elkin. Their previous encounter, held on clay at the W 35 Sao Paulo in 2025, resulted in Ayala overcoming Elkin with a scoreline of 4-6, 6-4, 10-5. Interestingly, in match duration and pressure scenarios like tiebreaks, neither has displayed a notable edge. However, Ayala tends to perform better in deciding sets against Elkin, having won the only such occasion between the two. Broadly across all competitors within the past year, Elkin notched a deciding set win 33% of the time, slightly outperforming Ayala’s 29%.

In evaluating the quality of past opponents, Elkin has competed against players with an average rank of 40.02, whereas Ayala's opponents averaged a rank of 8.23, which suggests that Ayala may have encountered stiffer competition. Breakpoint conversion provides another layer of insight, with Elkin converting 49.3% of opportunities, outperforming Ayala’s 40.82%. This stat is crucial when pinpointing potential match-turning moments, with Elkin possessing a more efficient breakpoint conversion rate.

Considering all statistical elements, it appears that Elkin has the advantage in several key areas. However, Ayala's superior past performance and tenacity in their direct H2H match could turn the tide. Given this comprehensive analysis, Ayala is slightly favored to win the upcoming match, leveraging their higher past winning percentage and experience against top-ranked opponents.