Aliona Falei vs Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Anastasija Sevastova's second serve performance is slightly ahead, winning 37.14% of points, compared to Aliona Falei's 35.53%. Could this minor edge in serving bolster Sevastova's chances?
• When it comes to returning serves, Falei demonstrates a stronger performance, especially on second serve returns, securing 53.67% of points compared to Sevastova's 49.21%. Will this return prowess give Falei an advantage?
• On first serve returns, Falei again leads with 35.61% versus Sevastova's 31.65%, indicating a slight edge for Falei in returning games.
• Under pressure situations, Sevastova has shown better breakpoint saving capabilities, with a success rate of 52.27% compared to Falei's 49.32%.
• While Sevastova has secured 50% of her matches (W/L 12/12) over the last year, Falei has a superior winning percentage of 58% (W/L 29/21). Does Falei’s recent winning momentum suggest she might come out on top?
• Sevastova excels on clay courts with a 68% win rate, whereas Falei's best performance is on indoor hard courts, also at 68%. Does the match surface play a crucial role here?
• Despite playing in more elite tournaments, Sevastova's 58.33% win rate at Masters series events slightly trails Falei's 58.70% success in lower-tier events like the Challengers/ITF.
• Sevastova has faced stiffer competition, playing against opponents with an average rank of 121.04, compared to Falei's average of 380.04.
• In deciding sets, Sevastova holds a significant edge, winning 64% compared to Falei's 44%, possibly indicating her stronger mental fortitude in crucial moments.
• At breakpoint opportunities, Falei showcases a superior conversion rate at 42.25%, while Sevastova lags behind at 32.73%, which could be pivotal in critical game moments.

Editorial Prediction (November 28, 2025, UTC):

Examining the current form and strengths of both players, Anastasija Sevastova appears to have a slight edge in serving capabilities. Her ability to save breakpoints more effectively also highlights her composure under pressure.

Conversely, Aliona Falei's return game is stronger, showcasing her potential to challenge Sevastova's serve, particularly with a better breakpoint conversion rate.

Considering the quality of opponents both have faced, Sevastova's experience against higher-ranked players and superior performance in deciding sets might tilt the match in her favor.

Given these factors, Anastasija Sevastova is likely the favorite to win the upcoming tennis match.