Aliona Bolsova vs Arantxa Rus Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Bolsova's recent second serve performance is slightly better, boasting a win rate of 37.76% compared to Rus's 36.43%. Can this marginal lead influence the match outcome? It might, considering the high correlation with match predictions.
• In return games, Rus edges out with a 51.01% win rate on second serve returns versus Bolsova's 50%. However, Bolsova slightly leads in first serve returns with 37.37%, outpacing Rus's 36.53%.
• Bolsova has a better breakpoint save rate at 45.92%, compared to Rus's 44.6%. Could this make Bolsova more resilient under pressure?
• Over the past year, Bolsova has a higher match win rate of 58.46%, surpassing Rus's 50.75%—a clear indicator of overall form.
• Both players excel on clay, with Rus having a 67% win rate and Bolsova 64%, but Bolsova's performance diminishes significantly on grass at 33%.
• At the Challenger/ITF level, Rus has a slight advantage, winning 62.16% of her matches compared to Bolsova's 60%.
• The head-to-head history slightly favors Rus, who has won 2 out of 3 previous encounters, with one deciding set victory.
• Neither player has won a tiebreak against the other, highlighting their evenly matched abilities during crucial points.
• When playing higher-ranked opponents, Rus has faced a tougher average ranking (202.19) than Bolsova (304.65), possibly honing her competitive edge further.
• Rus has a stronger deciding set performance, winning 65% of such situations against Bolsova's 53% in the past year.
• In terms of break point conversion, Rus again leads slightly, converting 41.41% compared to Bolsova's 40.65%.

Editorial Prediction (September 11, 2025, UTC):

This match is poised to be a closely contested battle, with both players exhibiting similar strengths and weaknesses across several performance metrics. Both players have demonstrated their prowess on clay, and while Rus has a marginal advantage in return games, Bolsova's resilience under pressure could prove pivotal.

Rus's recent experience against higher-ranked opponents suggests she might bring a strategic edge to the game. Her superior performance in deciding sets might also give her confidence if the match extends to a final set.

Considering these factors, along with the head-to-head record and Rus's slightly better breakpoint conversion rate, Anna Rus appears to be the likely victor in this upcoming encounter.