Alina Charaeva vs Alevtina Ibragimova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When evaluating recent second serve statistics, Charaeva edges out Ibragimova slightly, with a win rate of 36.54% compared to 36.11% for Ibragimova. Could this slight advantage impact the match? Possibly, as second serve performance often correlates with match predictions.
• Looking at return game form, Ibragimova seems stronger, winning a higher percentage of opponent's second serve points (52.03%) than Charaeva (51.51%). In terms of first serve returns, Charaeva is ahead with 36.4%, surpassing Ibragimova's 34.17%.
• Under pressure, Ibragimova preserves breakpoints marginally better, escaping 47.13% of the time, just ahead of Charaeva's 46.87%. Slight edges in breakpoint defense can sway predictions during tense match moments.
• Overall performance in the last year is close, with Ibragimova having a win/loss ratio of 57.97%, slightly below Charaeva's 58.44%.
• Each player has a preferred surface, with Ibragimova excelling on clay at a 65% win rate, while Charaeva performs best on hard courts, achieving a 67% win rate.
• In head-to-head encounters, Ibragimova leads by winning their sole previous encounter on clay with a straight-set victory (6-4, 6-4).
• In terms of opponent quality, Charaeva has faced slightly tougher opponents with an average rank of 348.45, compared to Ibragimova's 353.03.
• If the match extends into a deciding set, Charaeva has a higher win rate in such scenarios (50%) compared to Ibragimova (43%).
• For breakpoint conversion, Charaeva again slightly outperforms Ibragimova, converting 40.46% of opportunities compared to Ibragimova's 39.71%.

Editorial Prediction (May 22, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the stats, both players present a competitive matchup with strengths in different areas. Ibragimova showcases a robust return game, especially against second serves, which could give her an edge if she capitalizes on Charaeva's serve.

However, Charaeva has a slight edge in several aspects such as second serve performance and breakpoint conversion. Additionally, her performance in deciding sets suggests poise under pressure, perhaps influenced by facing higher-ranked opponents more frequently.

Considering the surface, since Ibragimova has historically performed well on clay, she may have slight home-court advantage if the match is again contested on this surface. Yet, Charaeva's adaptability on varying surfaces and overall consistency in recent months could counterbalance Ibragimova's surface preference.

Considering all data, Charaeva appears to have a marginal advantage, and is thus more likely to secure the victory in the forthcoming match.