Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Mateas Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Mateas has been slightly more effective on their second serve, winning 39.43% of points compared to Sasnovich's 37.47%. Could this indicate a potential advantage for Mateas?
• Sasnovich has been more successful in returning their opponent's second serves, with a win rate of 52.57%, compared to Mateas's 48.31%.
• Regarding first serve returns, Mateas edges out with 37.39%, while Sasnovich has achieved 35.54%.
• Under pressure, Mateas saves breakpoints at a higher rate of 52.07%, compared to Sasnovich's 47.89%.
• In terms of recent match performance, Sasnovich has a better win percentage, triumphing in 59.26% of the matches compared to Mateas's 49.23%.
• Sasnovich excels on indoor hard courts with a career win percentage of 68%, slightly outperforming Mateas's 50% on the same surface.
• Contrarily, Mateas performs best on hard courts, boasting a 57% win rate, whereas Sasnovich's prowess decreases on grass courts.
• Sasnovich's experience in higher-level tournaments reflects in her Main tour participation, with a win rate of 65.38% over the last year, while Mateas has mainly competed in Challenger/ITF events with a 50% success rate.
• Analyzing opponent quality, Sasnovich has faced tougher competition, with competitors averaging a rank of 158.93, as opposed to Mateas's opponents averaging a rank of 296.31.
• Should the match reach a deciding set, Sasnovich shows greater resilience, winning 63% of these sets in the past year, whereas Mateas has won only 40%.
• Break point conversion is marginally in Mateas's favor, with a conversion rate of 42.93% compared to Sasnovich's 40.68%.

Editorial Prediction (June 7, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Sasnovich and Mateas presents an intriguing competition, with both players showcasing strengths and potential vulnerabilities. Mateas exhibits a slight edge in second serve performance and breakpoint conversions, which could provide crucial opportunities during pivotal match moments.

Sasnovich, however, has consistently returned better against second serves and demonstrated a remarkable ability to prevail in deciding sets. Her experience on more competitive tours and her success against higher-ranked opponents further emphasize her edge.

Considering Sasnovich's stronger recent form, superior return game, and ability to handle pressure in deciding sets, she is poised as the likely favorite to win the match against Mateas.