Alexey Vatutin vs Louis Tessa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Vatutin has shown a lower winning percentage on their second serve (44.59%) compared to Tessa (51.69%) in recent months. Is this crucial for predicting the match winner? High correlation suggests it might be.
• Tessa has a slightly better return game, winning 50.52% of points on opponent's second serve, compared to Vatutin's 47.14%.
• Under pressure, Tessa has a superior breakpoint saving rate (53.85%) compared to Vatutin's 50.49%.
• Overall, Vatutin has a better match win percentage over the past year (61.11%) contrasted with Tessa's 38.89%.
• Their preferred surface is Hard, where Vatutin boasts a 60% win rate, just surpassing Tessa's 55%.
• Vatutin frequently competes at the Challengers/ITF level with a 58% success rate, while Tessa's participation is mainly in Futures/Satellites/ITF with a 36.36% win rate.
• In their direct matchup history, Tessa is in the lead, having won their only encounter in straight sets.
• Their head-to-head battles, averaging nearly two hours, reveal Tessa's victory in a tie-break scenario against Vatutin.
• Vatutin contends against lower-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 397.14, while Tessa faces slightly higher-ranked competitors (312.22).
• If this match requires a deciding set, Vatutin has a stronger track record, winning 60% of such sets as opposed to Tessa's 36%.
• Both players exhibit similar breakpoint conversion rates, with Vatutin at 33.99% and Tessa at 34.38%.

Editorial Prediction (September 15, 2025, UTC):

Assessing both players' performances, Tessa shows an edge in return games and under pressure performance, as well as head-to-head success. These aspects favor Tessa for the upcoming match.

Vatutin, on the other hand, exhibits stronger overall win rates over the past year and a superior ability in deciding sets. However, these factors may not be as decisive given the current head-to-head record and Tessa's competency in moments of high pressure.

Considering all factors such as second serve reliability and head-to-head outcomes, Tessa appears to have a slight advantage and is likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.