Alexei Popyrin vs Naoki Nakagawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
A. Popyrin vs N. Nakagawa

Alexei Popyrin

AUS

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

6'5" (196 cm)

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

C. Rank

660

Best Rank

327

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$5.2M

Career Money

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Naoki Nakagawa

JPN

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

6'5" (196 cm)

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

C. Rank

660

Best Rank

327

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$5.2M

Career Money

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Popyrin 1 - 1 Nakagawa

They have played 6 sets in total, with Alexei Popyrin winning 3 and Naoki Nakagawa winning 3. The last match between Naoki Nakagawa and Alexei Popyrin was at the Seoul Challenger, 11-10-2022, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 3-6 7-5 7-6(6).

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Popyrin	1
Nakagawa	1

Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R1) Seoul Challenger(10-11-22)

Stats

Naoki Nakagawa

Alexei Popyrin

(R1) USA F33 (Houston)(10-11-17)

Stats

Alexei Popyrin

Naoki Nakagawa

A. Popyrin vs N. Nakagawa H2H Profile

A. Popyrin	Stats	N. Nakagawa
$5,247,870	Career Prize Money	$0
54.91% (291-239)	Career Total W/L	59.54% (334-227)
1	Hard	1
6	Titles	6
1	Total H2H Matches	1
42.50% (17-23)	YTD Win/Loss	0% (0-0)

A. Popyrin vs N. Nakagawa Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alexei Popyrin has won 44.96% of points on their second serve, while Naoki Nakagawa has won 47.03%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alexei Popyrin, in recent form, has won 43.36% of their opponent's second serve points, while Naoki Nakagawa has won 41.80%. The same stats for first serve returns are 22.82% and 24.00% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Alexei Popyrin has saved 61.82% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Naoki Nakagawa has saved 56.08% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Alexei Popyrin has won 41.46% of matches played (W/L 17/24), with Naoki Nakagawa winning 40.54% (W/L 15/22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Alexei Popyrin has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 85/64), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 22/24). Naoki Nakagawa has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 19/12), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 59% (W/L 202/139).
Player level: In the last year, Alexei Popyrin has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 52.94% of matches (W/L 9/8), where as Naoki Nakagawa has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 28.57% of matches (W/L 6/15). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Alexei Popyrin winning 1 times and Naoki Nakagawa being victorious 1 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Alexei Popyrin winning 3 and Naoki Nakagawa winning 3.
The last match between Alexei Popyrin and Naoki Nakagawa was at the Seoul Challenger, 11-10-2022, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 3-6 7-5 7-6(6).
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:43:1.
Deciding set H2H prediction: Alexei Popyrin and Naoki Nakagawa have played a deciding set 2 times, with Alexei Popyrin winning 1 times and Naoki Nakagawa 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Alexei Popyrin winning 2, and Naoki Nakagawa 1.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alexei Popyrin has played against opponents with an average rank of 83.54 while Naoki Nakagawa has played against players with an average rank of 450.46.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alexei Popyrin has won 39% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Naoki Nakagawa has won 25% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Alexei Popyrin has converted 22.32% of breakpoint opportunities, and Naoki Nakagawa has converted 26.47% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Alexei Popyrin vs Naoki Nakagawa Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Popyrin vs N. Nakagawa H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

A. Popyrin	Stats	N. Nakagawa
1	H2H Matches Won	1
3	Sets Won	3
33	Games Won	35
25	Aces (Total)	8
14	Total Double Faults	5
2:43:1	Average Match Time	2:43:1
56% (118/209)	1st Serve %	59% (142/239)
75% (88/118)	1st Serve Win %	70% (100/142)
49% (45/91)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (46/97)
29% (4/14)	Break Pts Won %	60% (6/10)
39% (93/239)	Return Points Win %	36% (76/209)
50% (1/2)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	50% (1/2)
50% (1/2)	Deciding Set Win %	50% (1/2)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	100% (1/1)

Recent Performance Stats

A. Popyrin Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Hellenic Championship - Athens - 03-11-2025
R1 Sebastian KordaS. Korda	L	4-6 6-3 6-4	Stats
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
R1 Alexander BublikA. Bublik	L	6-4 6-3	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R1 Matteo BerrettiniM. Berrettini	L	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm - 13-10-2025
R1 Sebastian KordaS. Korda	L	6-7(4) 6-1 6-3	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R2 Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner	L	6-3 6-2 6-2	Stats

View All

N. Nakagawa Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Yokohama Challenger - 17-11-2025
Q3 Jumpei YamasakiJ. Yamasaki	L	6-3 6-1	Stats
Q1 Yuma TobeY. Tobe	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
M15 Tanagura - 20-10-2025
R1 Taketo TakamisawaT. Takamisawa	L	6-3 7-5	Stats
M25 Takasaki - 15-09-2025
R1 Taiyo YamanakaT. Yamanaka	L	3-6 6-4 6-4	Stats
M25 Sapporo - 08-09-2025
SF Kaichi UchidaK. Uchida	L	3-6 6-3 6-3	Stats

View All

A. Popyrin vs N. Nakagawa Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

A. Popyrin	Stats	N. Nakagawa
54.91% (291/239)	YTD Win/Loss	59.54% (334/227)
53.30% (702/615)	Sets Win/Loss	57.08% (746/561)
50.60% (6706/6547)	Games Win/Loss	52.23% (6495/5941)
56.75% (143/109)	Hard Win/Loss	59.24% (202/139)
57.05% (85/64)	Clay Win/Loss	59.89% (112/75)
49.40% (41/42)	Indoor Hard W/L	60.61% (20/13)
47.83% (22/24)	Grass Win/Loss	0% (0/0)
0.61	Aces Per Game	0.32
3941	Aces Total	1966
0.27	Double Faults Per Game	0.19
1725	Total Double Faults	1127
1:43:12	Average Match Time	1:20:31
341.24	Average Opponent Rank	467.72
60% (23897/39546)	1st Serve %	57% (16706/29409)
74% (17711/23897)	1st Serve Win %	70% (11612/16706)
50% (7837/15650)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (6387/12703)
36% (1148/3181)	Break Points Won % (Total)	42% (1211/2882)
35% (13895/39256)	Return Points Win %	39% (11611/29534)
50.00% (27/27)	Slam W/L	0% (0/0)
56.73% (59/45)	Masters W/L	0% (0/0)
57.14% (4/3)	Cups W/L	0% (0/0)
45.83% (77/91)	Main Tour W/L	0.00% (0/3)
58.82% (70/49)	Challenger W/L	44.37% (67/84)
69.33% (52/23)	Futures W/L	65.60% (267/140)
55% (257/469)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	59% (330/555)
48% (25/52)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	67% (2/3)
59% (160/269)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	56% (99/177)
52% (98/188)	Deciding Set Win %	57% (106/185)
83% (271/225)	1st Set Won, Won Match	87% (307/268)
17% (271/46)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (307/39)
25% (258/64)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	26% (254/66)