Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
A. Popyrin vs M. Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

AUS

1

Win

Played

3

Win

Age

6'5" (196 cm)

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$5.2M

Career Money

$2.5M

Right-Handed

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

1

Win

Played

3

Win

Age

6'5" (196 cm)

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$5.2M

Career Money

$2.5M

Right-Handed

Plays

Head-to-head: Popyrin 1 - 3 Arnaldi

They have played 11 sets in total, with Alexei Popyrin winning 4 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 7. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 31-12-2024, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-2.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Popyrin	1
Arnaldi	3

Last 4 H2H Matches:

(R1) Brisbane International - Brisbane(12-31-24)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

(Rubber 1) Davis Cup, World Group, F, AUS-ITA 0-2(11-26-23)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

(R1) Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai(10-05-23)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

A. Popyrin vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile

A. Popyrin	Stats	M. Arnaldi
$5,247,870	Career Prize Money	$2,532,865
54.91% (291-239)	Career Total W/L	59.90% (239-160)
1	Clay	0
0	Hard	2
0	Indoor	1
6	Titles	6
1	Total H2H Matches	3
42.50% (17-23)	YTD Win/Loss	45.45% (20-24)

A. Popyrin vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alexei Popyrin has won 45.34% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.70%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alexei Popyrin, in recent form, has won 44.24% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.17%. The same stats for first serve returns are 22.32% and 23.92% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Alexei Popyrin has saved 63.52% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.40% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Alexei Popyrin has won 41.46% of matches played (W/L 17/24), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Alexei Popyrin has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 85/64), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 22/24). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
Player level: In the last year, Alexei Popyrin has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 52.94% of matches (W/L 9/8), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Alexei Popyrin winning 1 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 3 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Alexei Popyrin winning 4 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 7.
The last match between Alexei Popyrin and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 31-12-2024, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:16:55.
Deciding set H2H prediction: Alexei Popyrin and Matteo Arnaldi have played a deciding set 3 times, with Alexei Popyrin winning 1 times and Matteo Arnaldi 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alexei Popyrin has played against opponents with an average rank of 83.54 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.08.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alexei Popyrin has won 39% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Alexei Popyrin has converted 23.53% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 23.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Popyrin vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

A. Popyrin	Stats	M. Arnaldi
1	H2H Matches Won	3
4	Sets Won	7
52	Games Won	58
29	Aces (Total)	25
12	Total Double Faults	18
2:16:55	Average Match Time	2:16:55
60% (205/339)	1st Serve %	53% (197/372)
73% (149/205)	1st Serve Win %	69% (136/197)
47% (63/134)	2nd Serve Win %	54% (95/175)
24% (10/42)	Break Pts Won %	48% (12/25)
38% (141/372)	Return Points Win %	37% (127/339)
25% (1/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	75% (3/4)
33% (1/3)	Deciding Set Win %	67% (2/3)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	67% (2/3)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	33% (1/3)
33% (1/3)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	100% (1/1)

Recent Performance Stats

A. Popyrin Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Hellenic Championship - Athens - 03-11-2025
R1 Sebastian KordaS. Korda	L	4-6 6-3 6-4	Stats
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
R1 Alexander BublikA. Bublik	L	6-4 6-3	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R1 Matteo BerrettiniM. Berrettini	L	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm - 13-10-2025
R1 Sebastian KordaS. Korda	L	6-7(4) 6-1 6-3	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R2 Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner	L	6-3 6-2 6-2	Stats

View All

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
Q1 Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R2 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate	W	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
Q1 Jesper De JongJ. De	W	6-4 7-6(5)	Stats

View All

A. Popyrin vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

A. Popyrin	Stats	M. Arnaldi
54.91% (291/239)	YTD Win/Loss	59.90% (239/160)
53.30% (702/615)	Sets Win/Loss	57.91% (560/407)
50.60% (6706/6547)	Games Win/Loss	52.58% (4842/4366)
56.75% (143/109)	Hard Win/Loss	60.71% (85/55)
57.05% (85/64)	Clay Win/Loss	65.35% (132/70)
49.40% (41/42)	Indoor Hard W/L	38.30% (18/29)
47.83% (22/24)	Grass Win/Loss	40.00% (4/6)
0.61	Aces Per Game	0.36
3941	Aces Total	1621
0.27	Double Faults Per Game	0.25
1725	Total Double Faults	1126
1:43:12	Average Match Time	1:45:46
341.24	Average Opponent Rank	301.57
60% (23897/39546)	1st Serve %	59% (16488/28035)
74% (17711/23897)	1st Serve Win %	68% (11281/16488)
50% (7837/15650)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (5794/11542)
36% (1148/3181)	Break Points Won % (Total)	43% (1155/2712)
35% (13895/39256)	Return Points Win %	40% (10868/27336)
50.00% (27/27)	Slam W/L	56.25% (18/14)
56.73% (59/45)	Masters W/L	54.39% (31/26)
57.14% (4/3)	Cups W/L	80.00% (4/1)
45.83% (77/91)	Main Tour W/L	48.57% (34/36)
58.82% (70/49)	Challenger W/L	59.84% (73/49)
69.33% (52/23)	Futures W/L	70.27% (78/33)
55% (257/469)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	61% (223/367)
48% (25/52)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	43% (12/28)
59% (160/269)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	58% (76/131)
52% (98/188)	Deciding Set Win %	51% (68/133)
83% (271/225)	1st Set Won, Won Match	83% (242/200)
17% (271/46)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	17% (242/42)
25% (258/64)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	24% (156/37)