Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do their second serve performances compare? Popyrin has recently won 47.48% of points, while Medvedev has won 43.15%.
• Regarding second serve return ability, Popyrin has won 44.83% of points and Medvedev slightly more at 45.64%.
• In recent first serve return games, Popyrin has secured 24.73% of points, versus Medvedev's 25.98%.
• Both players' breakpoint-saving abilities differ, with Popyrin saving 65.71% compared to Medvedev's 55.38% recently.
• Performance overview shows Popyrin has a win rate of 52.94% over the last year, while Medvedev exhibits a superior 63.08% win rate.
• Popyrin excels on Clay at a 57% win rate, whereas Medvedev's best surface is Hard, holding a 75% win rate.
• In the Masters series, Popyrin has won 66.67% of matches played recently, compared to Medvedev's 60.87%.
• In their direct encounters, Medvedev leads with three wins to Popyrin's one.
• Their average match duration has been approximately 2:21:31 across their head-to-head meetings.
• In deciding sets in head-to-head, they are equal, each winning once out of two occurrences.
• Popyrin has triumphed in 3 out of 4 tiebreaks against Medvedev in prior matches.
• Over the past year, Popyrin's opponents’ average rank was 62.08, compared to Medvedev's slightly tougher 53.32.
• Regarding all deciding set matches across players, Medvedev has a stronger performance, winning 56% whereas Popyrin has a 44% win rate.
• While Popyrin has converted 20% of breakpoints recently, Medvedev has been more effective with a 34.53% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (May 10, 2025, UTC):

In terms of second serve performance, Popyrin holds a slight edge over Medvedev, winning a higher percentage of points in recent match play. This statistic can often be a strong indicator of match outcomes.

Popyrin also demonstrates commendable performance under pressure, particularly in tiebreak scenarios, having secured a majority of tiebreak wins against Medvedev. His effectiveness at saving breakpoints further emphasizes his resilience.

However, Medvedev possesses a higher success rate in converting breakpoints, suggesting a strong offensive capability and an ability to capitalize on opponents' weaknesses at crucial moments in the match.

Medvedev's overall win rate surpasses Popyrin’s, and his superior results on Hard courts, the likely surface for this event, give him a strategic advantage. Additionally, his slightly tougher opposition over the last year underlines his experience against higher-ranking players.

Considering these elements, while Popyrin shows formidable defensive play, Medvedev's consistent performance at a higher level, coupled with his offensive strengths, positions him as the likely victor in this upcoming match. Therefore, based on the current evidence, Medvedev is predicted to win.